Brief communication: Annual variability of the atmospheric circulation at large spatial scale reconstructed from a data assimilation framework cannot explain local East Antarctic ice rises' surface mass balance records

Abstract. Ice cores are influenced by local processes that alter surface mass balance (SMB) records. To evaluate whether atmospheric circulation on large spatial scales explains the differing SMB trends at eight East Antarctic ice rises, we assimilated ice core SMB records within a high-resolution downscaled atmospheric model, while incorporating radar-derived SMB constraints to quantify local observation errors. The reconstruction captures the diverse variability from SMB records but may over-fit by introducing unrealistic wind spatial heterogeneity. While local errors are quantified, they might not cover all uncertainties. Moreover, small-scale wind circulation, unresolved in the reconstruction, could significantly affect local ice core SMB signals.

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Publication Details

Journal
˜The œcryosphere
Published
2025-12-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6483-2025
Primary Topic
Cryospheric studies and observations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Brief communication: Annual variability of the atmospheric circulation at large spatial scale reconstructed from a data assimilation framework cannot explain local East Antarctic ice rises' surface mass balance records

Quentin Dalaiden, Hugues Goosse, Nicolas Ghilain, Marie G. P. Cavitte
˜The œcryosphere
Cryospheric studies and observations
article

Brief communication: Annual variability of the atmospheric circulation at large spatial scale reconstructed from a data assimilation framework cannot explain local East Antarctic ice rises' surface mass balance records

Quentin Dalaiden, Hugues Goosse, Nicolas Ghilain, Marie G. P. Cavitte
article en

Abstract

Abstract. Ice cores are influenced by local processes that alter surface mass balance (SMB) records. To evaluate whether atmospheric circulation on large spatial scales explains the differing SMB trends at eight East Antarctic ice rises, we assimilated ice core SMB records within a high-resolution downscaled atmospheric model, while incorporating radar-derived SMB constraints to quantify local observation errors. The reconstruction captures the diverse variability from SMB records but may over-fit by introducing unrealistic wind spatial heterogeneity. While local errors are quantified, they might not cover all uncertainties. Moreover, small-scale wind circulation, unresolved in the reconstruction, could significantly affect local ice core SMB signals.

˜The œcryosphereVol. 19(12)
Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium (BE), Vrije Universiteit Brussel (BE), University of Liège (BE), Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (NO), Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NO), UCLouvain (BE)
European Commission, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS, Belgian Federal Science Policy Office
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Cryospheric studies and observations
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