Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series

The visibility graph (VG) algorithm and its variants have been extensively studied in the time series analysis as they transform the time series into the network of nodes and links, enabling to characterize the time series in terms of network measures such as degree distributions. Despite numerous practical applications of VGs in various disciplines, analytical, rigorous understanding of VGs for the correlated time series is still far from complete due to the lack of mathematical tools for modeling the correlation structure in the time series in a tractable form. In this work, we adopt the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula method to derive the analytical solutions of degree distributions of the horizontal visibility graph (HVG) and its directed version (DHVG) for the correlated time series. Our analytical results show exactly how the correlation between consecutive data points affects the degree distributions of HVGs and DHVGs up to the first order of the correlation parameter in the FGM copula. Thus, our findings shed light on the rigorous understanding of the VG algorithms.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena
Published
2025-12-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2025.135058
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series

Hang-Hyun Jo, Jeongmin Lee
Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series

Hang-Hyun Jo, Jeongmin Lee
article en

Abstract

The visibility graph (VG) algorithm and its variants have been extensively studied in the time series analysis as they transform the time series into the network of nodes and links, enabling to characterize the time series in terms of network measures such as degree distributions. Despite numerous practical applications of VGs in various disciplines, analytical, rigorous understanding of VGs for the correlated time series is still far from complete due to the lack of mathematical tools for modeling the correlation structure in the time series in a tractable form. In this work, we adopt the Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula method to derive the analytical solutions of degree distributions of the horizontal visibility graph (HVG) and its directed version (DHVG) for the correlated time series. Our analytical results show exactly how the correlation between consecutive data points affects the degree distributions of HVGs and DHVGs up to the first order of the correlation parameter in the FGM copula. Thus, our findings shed light on the rigorous understanding of the VG algorithms.

Physica D Nonlinear PhenomenaVol. 486
The Catholic University of Korea Bucheon St. Mary's Hospital (KR), Catholic University of Korea (KR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 54%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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Copula-based analytical results of horizontal visibility graphs for correlated time series — Hang-Hyun Jo, Jeongmin Lee · Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS