Clustering of Civil Aviation Occurrences in Brazil: Operational Patterns and Critical Contexts

This study applied clustering algorithms to reveal latent structures in 9791 Brazilian civil aviation occurrences recorded from 2007 to 2023. We tested K-means, hierarchical clustering, and K-medoids, using aircraft type, flight phase, and severity as variables in different configurations. The K-medoids method with Manhattan distance produced the best separation. It formed clusters that isolated accidents involving helicopters, ultralights, and critical phases such as takeoff and landing. It also highlighted a specific group of specialized operations. Results confirm that occurrences with similar operational profiles tend to group together, which may help prioritize investigation and prevention actions. The analysis also shows that combining different types of aviation in the same dataset reduces specificity, as heterogeneous operations are mixed. Even so, the findings provide a first overview of safety dynamics in Brazilian civil aviation. The study concludes that clustering can expose latent structures not detected by traditional descriptive analyses and may support the development of more targeted safety policies.