A novel stochastic framework for pricing European options on crude oil futures

This paper extends the existing two-factor Schwartz model into a comprehensive three-factor framework that incorporates stochastic volatility through the Heston model, enabling more precise pricing of European options on crude oil futures. In this enhanced model, we account for key variables including market volatility and yield changes, which significantly influence futures pricing dynamics. We present an analytical formula for the pricing of futures contracts, facilitating robust calibration against actual market data. To solve the associated partial differential equations for option pricing, we implement the Deep Galerkin Method (DGM), a novel approach leveraging deep neural networks that proves to be efficient and accurate, particularly in high-dimensional settings. The obtained results demonstrate that the DGM method outperforms traditional numerical techniques, offering substantial improvements in both accuracy and computational efficiency.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Mathematics in Science and Engineering
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/27690911.2025.2591750
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.42
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article

A novel stochastic framework for pricing European options on crude oil futures

Panumart Sawangtong, Alireza Najafi
2 citations
Applied Mathematics in Science and Engineering
Stochastic processes and financial applications
4.42
article

A novel stochastic framework for pricing European options on crude oil futures

Panumart Sawangtong, Alireza Najafi
article en
2 citations

Abstract

This paper extends the existing two-factor Schwartz model into a comprehensive three-factor framework that incorporates stochastic volatility through the Heston model, enabling more precise pricing of European options on crude oil futures. In this enhanced model, we account for key variables including market volatility and yield changes, which significantly influence futures pricing dynamics. We present an analytical formula for the pricing of futures contracts, facilitating robust calibration against actual market data. To solve the associated partial differential equations for option pricing, we implement the Deep Galerkin Method (DGM), a novel approach leveraging deep neural networks that proves to be efficient and accurate, particularly in high-dimensional settings. The obtained results demonstrate that the DGM method outperforms traditional numerical techniques, offering substantial improvements in both accuracy and computational efficiency.

Applied Mathematics in Science and EngineeringVol. 33(1)
Centre of Excellence in Mathematics (TH), King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok (TH), University of Guilan (IR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
4.42
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A novel stochastic framework for pricing European options on crude oil futures — Panumart Sawangtong, Alireza Najafi · Applied Mathematics in Science and Engineering (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS