A Parsimonious Model of Idiosyncratic Income

ABSTRACT The standard permanent and transitory income model is known to be misspecified. Estimates of income volatility within this model differ depending on the specific data moments used—whether they are in levels or differences—and how these moments are weighted during estimation. We suggest a simple modification to the standard model: allowing for two transitory shocks that persist for different lengths of time. Our proposed model, which introduces only one additional parameter, consistently and accurately identifies the parameters of the income process, regardless of the estimation method used .

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Publication Details

Journal
International Economic Review
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.70041
Primary Topic
Income, Poverty, and Inequality
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Parsimonious Model of Idiosyncratic Income

Edmund Crawley, Håkon Tretvoll, Martin Blomhoff Holm
International Economic Review
Income, Poverty, and Inequality
article

A Parsimonious Model of Idiosyncratic Income

Edmund Crawley, Håkon Tretvoll, Martin Blomhoff Holm
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT The standard permanent and transitory income model is known to be misspecified. Estimates of income volatility within this model differ depending on the specific data moments used—whether they are in levels or differences—and how these moments are weighted during estimation. We suggest a simple modification to the standard model: allowing for two transitory shocks that persist for different lengths of time. Our proposed model, which introduces only one additional parameter, consistently and accurately identifies the parameters of the income process, regardless of the estimation method used .

International Economic Review
Federal Reserve (US), Statistics Norway (NO), BI Norwegian Business School (NO), University of Oslo (NO), Federal Reserve Board of Governors (US)
Johns Hopkins University, European Commission
Openalex Percentile: Top 53%
Income, Poverty, and Inequality
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