Hydro‐Climatic Modelling for Water Resources: From Processes to Adaptive Management and Governance

ABSTRACT This paper focuses on the hydro‐climatic dimension of climate modelling, emphasising how methodological advances translate into implications for water resources and adaptive governance. Moving beyond a general review, it consolidates the link between climate science and hydrology by examining how improvements in model design, process representation and uncertainty management inform practical water strategies. The analysis highlights key developments within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), including the integration of biogeochemical cycles, refined parameterisations and expanded socio‐economic scenarios. Persistent challenges remain in simulating precipitation and cross‐scale feedbacks, which directly constrain hydrological projections. Innovative approaches—such as high‐resolution modelling, emulators and machine learning (ML)—are presented as promising tools to refine process fidelity and bridge global‐to‐local scales. By situating these technical frontiers within governance debates, the paper clarifies how uncertainty informs adaptive strategies and decision‐making. This interdisciplinary perspective advances the understanding of hydrological processes within the climate system while charting actionable pathways for sustainable and resilient water management.

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Publication Details

Journal
Hydrological Processes
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70348
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
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article

Hydro‐Climatic Modelling for Water Resources: From Processes to Adaptive Management and Governance

Jamel Chahed
Hydrological Processes
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
article

Hydro‐Climatic Modelling for Water Resources: From Processes to Adaptive Management and Governance

Jamel Chahed
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper focuses on the hydro‐climatic dimension of climate modelling, emphasising how methodological advances translate into implications for water resources and adaptive governance. Moving beyond a general review, it consolidates the link between climate science and hydrology by examining how improvements in model design, process representation and uncertainty management inform practical water strategies. The analysis highlights key developments within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), including the integration of biogeochemical cycles, refined parameterisations and expanded socio‐economic scenarios. Persistent challenges remain in simulating precipitation and cross‐scale feedbacks, which directly constrain hydrological projections. Innovative approaches—such as high‐resolution modelling, emulators and machine learning (ML)—are presented as promising tools to refine process fidelity and bridge global‐to‐local scales. By situating these technical frontiers within governance debates, the paper clarifies how uncertainty informs adaptive strategies and decision‐making. This interdisciplinary perspective advances the understanding of hydrological processes within the climate system while charting actionable pathways for sustainable and resilient water management.

Hydrological ProcessesVol. 39(12)
National Engineering School of Tunis (TN), Tunis El Manar University (TN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
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