Moisture Sources of Precipitation Using Convection‐Permitting Simulations: A Study Over South America

Abstract Climatological analyses of moisture sources of precipitation have traditionally relied on reanalyses or models that parameterize convection. Convection‐permitting models (CPMs) are increasingly used in climate studies, as they better represent many precipitation processes than non‐CPMs. We found significant differences in precipitation moisture sources over the Amazon Basin using 1‐year CPM and non‐CPM WRF simulations with moisture tracers. Notably, the CPM estimates that about half of precipitation in the central Andes comes from the Amazon basin; a 20%–30% higher estimate than the non‐CPM. This suggests long‐term CPMs with tracers could improve climatological estimates. However, their high computational cost is prohibitive. To overcome this, we developed a revised 2L‐DRM model that replicates CPM‐with‐tracers estimates at a fraction of the cost, using only standard outputs. We applied this model to South America, analyzing precipitation moisture sources across 15 regions. 2L‐DRM can be used for other regions as continental‐scale CPM climatological simulations become available.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-11-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl118806
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Moisture Sources of Precipitation Using Convection‐Permitting Simulations: A Study Over South America

Francina Domínguez, Changhai Liu, Erick Claros
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate variability and models
article

Moisture Sources of Precipitation Using Convection‐Permitting Simulations: A Study Over South America

Francina Domínguez, Changhai Liu, Erick Claros
article en

Abstract

Abstract Climatological analyses of moisture sources of precipitation have traditionally relied on reanalyses or models that parameterize convection. Convection‐permitting models (CPMs) are increasingly used in climate studies, as they better represent many precipitation processes than non‐CPMs. We found significant differences in precipitation moisture sources over the Amazon Basin using 1‐year CPM and non‐CPM WRF simulations with moisture tracers. Notably, the CPM estimates that about half of precipitation in the central Andes comes from the Amazon basin; a 20%–30% higher estimate than the non‐CPM. This suggests long‐term CPMs with tracers could improve climatological estimates. However, their high computational cost is prohibitive. To overcome this, we developed a revised 2L‐DRM model that replicates CPM‐with‐tracers estimates at a fraction of the cost, using only standard outputs. We applied this model to South America, analyzing precipitation moisture sources across 15 regions. 2L‐DRM can be used for other regions as continental‐scale CPM climatological simulations become available.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(23)
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (US), University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
National Science Foundation
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Climate variability and models
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