Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression Modeling on Maternal Mortality in NTT in 2022

Maternal mortality is a crucial indicator of healthcare quality, particularly in East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) Province, which still records high mortality rates with significant spatial variation. This study aims to model maternal mortality in NTT in 2022 using the Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression (BGWGPR) approach. This method integrates spatial weighting techniques with Bayesian parameter estimation through Gibbs Sampling to address spatial data characterized by overdispersion. Significant factors, including pregnant women's visits to healthcare facilities (K1), were found to influence the distribution of maternal deaths across districts in NTT. The model identifies that visits to healthcare facilities (K1) (X_1) are significant across all regions, while the variable for pregnant women receiving Tetanus Toxoid (X_3) is only significant in Alor and Timor Tengah Selatan. This model not only provides insights into determining factors but also helps identify priority areas for intervention. Therefore, this study contributes to evidence-based health policy-making aimed at reducing maternal mortality in NTT. The BGWGPR approach proves to be relevant for analyzing complex spatial data and can be applied to other epidemiological cases.

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Publication Details

Journal
CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Published
2025-11-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18860/cauchy.v10i2.31626
Primary Topic
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
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article
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article

Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression Modeling on Maternal Mortality in NTT in 2022

Henny Pramoedyo, Ni Wayan Suryawardhani, Dewi Ratnasari Wijaya
CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
article

Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression Modeling on Maternal Mortality in NTT in 2022

Henny Pramoedyo, Ni Wayan Suryawardhani, Dewi Ratnasari Wijaya
article en

Abstract

Maternal mortality is a crucial indicator of healthcare quality, particularly in East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) Province, which still records high mortality rates with significant spatial variation. This study aims to model maternal mortality in NTT in 2022 using the Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression (BGWGPR) approach. This method integrates spatial weighting techniques with Bayesian parameter estimation through Gibbs Sampling to address spatial data characterized by overdispersion. Significant factors, including pregnant women's visits to healthcare facilities (K1), were found to influence the distribution of maternal deaths across districts in NTT. The model identifies that visits to healthcare facilities (K1) (X_1) are significant across all regions, while the variable for pregnant women receiving Tetanus Toxoid (X_3) is only significant in Alor and Timor Tengah Selatan. This model not only provides insights into determining factors but also helps identify priority areas for intervention. Therefore, this study contributes to evidence-based health policy-making aimed at reducing maternal mortality in NTT. The BGWGPR approach proves to be relevant for analyzing complex spatial data and can be applied to other epidemiological cases.

CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan AplikasiVol. 10(2)
University of Brawijaya (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 55%
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
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Bayesian Geographically Weighted Generalized Poisson Regression Modeling on Maternal Mortality in NTT in 2022 — Henny Pramoedyo, Ni Wayan Suryawardhani, et al. · CAUCHY Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS