Uncertainty shocks in an intangible economy

This paper studies uncertainty shocks in the context of an intangible economy. I build a two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to understand a shift in investment composition and its implications for the transmission of uncertainty shocks. The model is motivated by the role of intangible capital as a cushion, mitigating the adverse effects of uncertainty on investment, as suggested by firm-level data. The quantitative analysis shows that heightened uncertainty directs resources toward the intangible sector, making the economy more intangible-intensive. The rising importance of intangibles diminishes aggregate volatility in the uncertainty-driven business cycle.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Published
2025-11-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105230
Primary Topic
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
Type
article
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article

Uncertainty shocks in an intangible economy

Shuonan Zhang
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
article

Uncertainty shocks in an intangible economy

Shuonan Zhang
article en

Abstract

This paper studies uncertainty shocks in the context of an intangible economy. I build a two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to understand a shift in investment composition and its implications for the transmission of uncertainty shocks. The model is motivated by the role of intangible capital as a cushion, mitigating the adverse effects of uncertainty on investment, as suggested by firm-level data. The quantitative analysis shows that heightened uncertainty directs resources toward the intangible sector, making the economy more intangible-intensive. The rising importance of intangibles diminishes aggregate volatility in the uncertainty-driven business cycle.

Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlVol. 182
University of Southampton (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 54%
Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
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