Risk identification model for power enterprises based on convolutional neural network

This paper proposes a risk assessment model based on Stacking ensemble learning and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for power systems with high-penetration renewable energy integration. By constructing wind farm output scenarios for the IEEE 39-bus system, the impact of renewable energy uncertainty on risk identification is systematically analyzed. Experimental results demonstrate that the model achieves optimal performance under 30% renewable energy penetration (accuracy rate: 98.01%, missed detection rate: 2.04%), significantly outperforming single CNN models. The study provides reliable decision-making support for power systems with diverse generation structures.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-11-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-29109-9
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Risk identification model for power enterprises based on convolutional neural network

Wei Pan, Fengwei Liu
Scientific Reports
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Risk identification model for power enterprises based on convolutional neural network

Wei Pan, Fengwei Liu
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a risk assessment model based on Stacking ensemble learning and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for power systems with high-penetration renewable energy integration. By constructing wind farm output scenarios for the IEEE 39-bus system, the impact of renewable energy uncertainty on risk identification is systematically analyzed. Experimental results demonstrate that the model achieves optimal performance under 30% renewable energy penetration (accuracy rate: 98.01%, missed detection rate: 2.04%), significantly outperforming single CNN models. The study provides reliable decision-making support for power systems with diverse generation structures.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN), Power Grid Corporation (India) (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Risk identification model for power enterprises based on convolutional neural network — Wei Pan, Fengwei Liu · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS