Luedeking-Piret regression for multi-step-ahead forecasting and clone selection in monoclonal antibodies biomanufacturing

Efficient production of monoclonal antibodies (mAb) using Chinese Hamster Ovary (CHO) cells is central to pharmaceutical biomanufacturing. The clone selection process traditionally requires lengthy 7-to-14-day assessments to evaluate performance, which extends development timelines. Here we introduce a hybrid Luedeking-Piret Regression model that integrates mechanistic insights with machine learning to more accurately predict mAb yields in fed-batch CHO cultures. Using experimental data from the early growth stages (up to day 9) of seven (n=7) distinct CHO cultures, the model performed multi-step-ahead forecasting to predict final production. The model predicted monoclonal antibody titers on day 16 with a mean percentage error of 5.85%, correctly selected higher-performing clones in 76.2% of trials from leave-two-out cross-validation and accurately forecasted daily production trajectories from day 10 to day 16. The model's multi-step-ahead forecasting capabilities have the potential to accelerate clone selection, providing the biomanufacturing community with a computationally straightforward algorithm for predicting production yields.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications Engineering
Published
2025-11-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44172-025-00547-7
Primary Topic
Viral Infectious Diseases and Gene Expression in Insects
Type
article
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article

Luedeking-Piret regression for multi-step-ahead forecasting and clone selection in monoclonal antibodies biomanufacturing

Penghua Wang, Chongle Pan, John Klier, Deepika Verma et al.
Communications Engineering
Viral Infectious Diseases and Gene Expression in Insects
article

Luedeking-Piret regression for multi-step-ahead forecasting and clone selection in monoclonal antibodies biomanufacturing

Penghua Wang, Chongle Pan, John Klier, Deepika Verma, Yu-Jen Chiu
article en

Abstract

Efficient production of monoclonal antibodies (mAb) using Chinese Hamster Ovary (CHO) cells is central to pharmaceutical biomanufacturing. The clone selection process traditionally requires lengthy 7-to-14-day assessments to evaluate performance, which extends development timelines. Here we introduce a hybrid Luedeking-Piret Regression model that integrates mechanistic insights with machine learning to more accurately predict mAb yields in fed-batch CHO cultures. Using experimental data from the early growth stages (up to day 9) of seven (n=7) distinct CHO cultures, the model performed multi-step-ahead forecasting to predict final production. The model predicted monoclonal antibody titers on day 16 with a mean percentage error of 5.85%, correctly selected higher-performing clones in 76.2% of trials from leave-two-out cross-validation and accurately forecasted daily production trajectories from day 10 to day 16. The model's multi-step-ahead forecasting capabilities have the potential to accelerate clone selection, providing the biomanufacturing community with a computationally straightforward algorithm for predicting production yields.

Communications EngineeringVol. 4(1)
Oklahoma City University (US), University of Oklahoma (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 66%
Viral Infectious Diseases and Gene Expression in Insects
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