Physiologic–Inflammatory–Nutrition (TRIAD-TB) Score at 72 Hours Predicts 30-Day Mortality and Length of Stay in Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

<b>Background and Objectives</b>: Ward-level risk in pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is often estimated from static admission data. This study evaluated a pragmatic composite-TRIAD-TB-integrating physiology (SpO<sub>2</sub>, respiratory rate), inflammation (systemic immune-inflammation index [SII], C-reactive protein [CRP]), and nutrition (BMI, albumin), augmented by 72 h changes in CRP and albumin, to predict 30-day mortality and hospital length of stay (LOS). <b>Methods</b>: A pooled prospective cohort of 126 HIV-negative adults without chronic systemic immunosuppression hospitalized with culture-confirmed pulmonary TB at two Romanian tertiary centers was analyzed. TRIAD-TB combined z-scored admission markers and 72 h deltas. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes included LOS. Associations were estimated using Firth logistic regression (mortality) and quasi-Poisson regression (LOS). Discrimination and overall performance were summarized by AUC and Brier score; internal performance used bootstrap optimism-correction. <b>Results</b>: Across TRIAD-TB tertiles, 30-day mortality increased from 2.4% to 16.7%, and mean LOS rose from 24.7 ± 5.8 to 32.1 ± 7.3 days. Each SD increase in TRIAD-TB was associated with higher odds of death (adjusted OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3-4.8; <i>p</i> = 0.006) and longer hospitalization (adjusted IRR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09-1.30; <i>p</i> < 0.001). The full model discriminated mortality well (AUC 0.84; Brier 0.067) and explained 21.8% of LOS deviance. Early dynamics were informative: higher CRP ratio (72 h/0 h) and albumin decline tracked with adverse outcomes. An admission-only "mini-TRIAD" retained strong discrimination (AUC 0.79). <b>Conclusions</b>: A dynamic composite leveraging routine vitals and laboratory tests-plus 72 h trajectories-accurately stratified short-term risk in hospitalized pulmonary TB, while an admission-only "mini-TRIAD" retained strong discrimination. Together, these tools may support early escalation, targeted monitoring, and capacity planning. TRIAD-TB may support early escalation, targeted monitoring, and capacity planning; however, because it was derived in HIV-negative, non-immunosuppressed adults in an Eastern European setting, TRIAD-TB and the admission-only "mini-TRIAD" require external validation, including in cohorts with substantial HIV co-infection and different comorbidity profiles, before any broader implementation.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Biomedicines
Published
2025-11-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines13122901
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.79
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Physiologic–Inflammatory–Nutrition (TRIAD-TB) Score at 72 Hours Predicts 30-Day Mortality and Length of Stay in Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

Livia Stanga, Venkata Sai Harshabhargav Chenna, Adrian Cosmin Ilie, Ionut-Valentin Stanciu et al.
2 citations
Biomedicines
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
2.79
article

Physiologic–Inflammatory–Nutrition (TRIAD-TB) Score at 72 Hours Predicts 30-Day Mortality and Length of Stay in Pulmonary Tuberculosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

Livia Stanga, Venkata Sai Harshabhargav Chenna, Adrian Cosmin Ilie, Ionut-Valentin Stanciu, Elena Danteș, Emanuela Tudorache, Ovidiu Roșca, Gabriel Veniamin Cozma, Ariadna Petronela Fildan, Ionela Preotesoiu
article en
2 citations

Abstract

<b>Background and Objectives</b>: Ward-level risk in pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is often estimated from static admission data. This study evaluated a pragmatic composite-TRIAD-TB-integrating physiology (SpO<sub>2</sub>, respiratory rate), inflammation (systemic immune-inflammation index [SII], C-reactive protein [CRP]), and nutrition (BMI, albumin), augmented by 72 h changes in CRP and albumin, to predict 30-day mortality and hospital length of stay (LOS). <b>Methods</b>: A pooled prospective cohort of 126 HIV-negative adults without chronic systemic immunosuppression hospitalized with culture-confirmed pulmonary TB at two Romanian tertiary centers was analyzed. TRIAD-TB combined z-scored admission markers and 72 h deltas. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality; secondary outcomes included LOS. Associations were estimated using Firth logistic regression (mortality) and quasi-Poisson regression (LOS). Discrimination and overall performance were summarized by AUC and Brier score; internal performance used bootstrap optimism-correction. <b>Results</b>: Across TRIAD-TB tertiles, 30-day mortality increased from 2.4% to 16.7%, and mean LOS rose from 24.7 ± 5.8 to 32.1 ± 7.3 days. Each SD increase in TRIAD-TB was associated with higher odds of death (adjusted OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3-4.8; <i>p</i> = 0.006) and longer hospitalization (adjusted IRR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09-1.30; <i>p</i> < 0.001). The full model discriminated mortality well (AUC 0.84; Brier 0.067) and explained 21.8% of LOS deviance. Early dynamics were informative: higher CRP ratio (72 h/0 h) and albumin decline tracked with adverse outcomes. An admission-only "mini-TRIAD" retained strong discrimination (AUC 0.79). <b>Conclusions</b>: A dynamic composite leveraging routine vitals and laboratory tests-plus 72 h trajectories-accurately stratified short-term risk in hospitalized pulmonary TB, while an admission-only "mini-TRIAD" retained strong discrimination. Together, these tools may support early escalation, targeted monitoring, and capacity planning. TRIAD-TB may support early escalation, targeted monitoring, and capacity planning; however, because it was derived in HIV-negative, non-immunosuppressed adults in an Eastern European setting, TRIAD-TB and the admission-only "mini-TRIAD" require external validation, including in cohorts with substantial HIV co-infection and different comorbidity profiles, before any broader implementation.

BiomedicinesVol. 13(12)
Ovidius University (RO), University of Perpetual Help System DALTA (PH), Victor Babeș University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timișoara (RO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Tuberculosis Research and Epidemiology
2.79
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.