A noninvasive machine learning model using a complete blood count for screening of primary vitreoretinal lymphoma
Primary vitreoretinal lymphoma (PVRL) is a rare and aggressive intraocular malignancy that is frequently misdiagnosed because of its nonspecific early manifestations and the lack of effective screening tools. We conduct a multicentre case-control study including 255 PVRL patients and 292 controls to develop a machine learning-based screening model using complete blood count data. A six-feature random forest model demonstrates high diagnostic accuracy in the discovery cohort (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85) and validates across all cohorts (AUC = 0.80-0.83), outperforming intraocular biomarkers such as the interleukin-10/interleukin-6 ratio (AUC = 0.65-0.78). Model performance further validates in a hospital-based prospective cohort (n = 100,526), where 38 PVRLs are identified among 66 individuals classified as high risk, and 2 additional cases are identified among 83,610 individuals classified as low risk, yielding a sensitivity of 95.0%, specificity of 99.97%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 57.6%, and negative predictive value of 99.99%. In the community cohort (n = 515,326), 22 individuals are flagged as high risk, 13 of whom are confirmed as having PVRL (PPV = 59.1%). This study presents the noninvasive and scalable blood-based screening strategy for detection of PVRL, with a web application enabling timely triage and population-level risk stratification.
Authors
- Jianing Wu
- Jun Ren (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0275-0783)
- Jie Cheng (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6983-5389)
- Wenjun Cao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6383-9012)
- Jiazhen Cao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8510-5044)
- HC Hu
- Ming Guan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8796-2653)
- Mengyu Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4339-4525)
- Shengjie Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6443-740X)
- Yingzhu Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8525-4066)
- Yunxiao Song (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0926-004X)
- Danhui Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1370-0121)
Institutions
- Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN)
- Fudan University (CN)
- General Electric (Denmark) (DK)
- Renji Hospital (CN)
- Eye & ENT Hospital of Fudan University (CN)
- Shanghai Xuhui Central Hospital (CN)
- Huashan Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2025-11-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65693-0
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- CNS Lymphoma Diagnosis and Treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.39
Funders
- Shanghai Municipal Health Commission
- National Natural Science Foundation of China