Updated probabilistic seismic hazard assessment using Mwg (Das magnitude scale) to address moment magnitude (M) scale inaccuracies below 7.5: a case study from Northeast India
This study uses the Das magnitude scale (M<sub>wg</sub>) to improve probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) in Northeast India, where traditional M scales introduce inaccuracies for events below M 7.5. The M scale is mathematically flawed in this range, being based on an equation derived for Ms ≲ 7.0-an inconsistency evident in the observed data. Using a unified earthquake catalog of 9,968 events, calibrated to M<sub>wg</sub>, in conjunction with region-specific seismogenic zones and observed-data-validated ground motion models, hazard spectra were derived for 475- and 2475-year return periods. The resulting PSHA indicates maximum peak ground accelerations (PGA) of 0.908 g and 1.5405 g for 10% and 2% exceedance probabilities over 50 years, respectively. Comparative analysis revealed significant discrepancies between M and M<sub>wg</sub>, with M overestimating ground motion by up to 40% for the 475-year return period and 20% for The 2475-year return period, particularly in regions prone to medium-range earthquakes. This overestimation of the M scale (mainly for smaller and medium earthquakes) was previously reported by Choy and Boatwright in 1995 using the Gutenberg-Richter energy equation. This issue can be effectively addressed by adopting the M<sub>wg</sub> scale, which provides a more accurate representation of seismic energy. Furthermore, M scale underestimated PGA by up to 10% for very large magnitude events. These discrepancies, particularly overestimation in smaller and medium earthquake ranges, have critical implications for structural design. The adoption of M<sub>wg</sub> provides a more accurate seismic hazard representation, necessitating a reevaluation of current building codes and emergency response protocols in Northeast India.
Authors
- Arindam Das (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9896-3531)
- Francisco García-Barrera (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2411-9183)
- Mohammad Ayaz Alam (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3189-8744)
- Claudio Meneses Villegas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1112-4925)
- H. R. Wason
- Deepankar Choudhury (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2331-7049)
- Ranjit Das (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9771-1452)
Institutions
- Universidad de Santiago de Chile (CL)
- Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee (IN)
- Indian Institute of Technology Bombay (IN)
- Universidad Católica del Norte (CL)
- University of Chile (CL)
- Arturo Prat University (CL)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2025-11-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-06642-1
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Seismic Performance and Analysis
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.91