An explainable artificial intelligence feature selection framework for transparent, trustworthy, and cost-efficient energy forecasting

• XAI-driven framework for transparent feature selection in renewable energy forecasting. • Removing dominant features improves robustness under noise. • Cost-sensitive feature reduction with minimal accuracy loss. • Scalable, human-in-the-loop framework for industrial renewable energy forecasting. Accurate forecasting of renewable power generation is crucial for grid stability and cost efficiency. Feature selection in AI-based forecasting remains challenging due to high data acquisition cost, lack of transparency, and limited user control. We introduce a transparent and cost-sensitive feature selection framework for renewable power forecasting that leverages Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI). We integrate SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Explain Like I’m 5 (ELI5) to identify dominant and redundant features. This approach enables systematic dataset reduction without compromising model performance. Our case study, based on Photovoltaic (PV) generation data, evaluates the approach across four experimental setups. Experimental results indicate that our XAI-based feature selection reduces the dominance index from 0.37 to 0.17, maintains high predictive accuracy ( R 2 = 0.94, drop < 0.04), and lowers data acquisition costs. Furthermore, eliminating dominant features improves robustness to noise and reduces performance variance by a factor of three compared to the baseline scenario. The developed framework enhances interpretability, supports human-in-the-loop decision-making, and introduces a cost-sensitive objective function for feature selection. By combining transparency, robustness, and efficiency, we contribute to the development and implementation of Trustworthy AI (TAI) applications in energy forecasting, providing a scalable solution for industrial deployment.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy and AI
Published
2025-11-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyai.2025.100648
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.48
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article

An explainable artificial intelligence feature selection framework for transparent, trustworthy, and cost-efficient energy forecasting

Michael H. Breitner, Sarah K. Lier, Leonard Kost
1 citations
Energy and AI
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.48
article

An explainable artificial intelligence feature selection framework for transparent, trustworthy, and cost-efficient energy forecasting

Michael H. Breitner, Sarah K. Lier, Leonard Kost
article en
1 citations

Abstract

• XAI-driven framework for transparent feature selection in renewable energy forecasting. • Removing dominant features improves robustness under noise. • Cost-sensitive feature reduction with minimal accuracy loss. • Scalable, human-in-the-loop framework for industrial renewable energy forecasting. Accurate forecasting of renewable power generation is crucial for grid stability and cost efficiency. Feature selection in AI-based forecasting remains challenging due to high data acquisition cost, lack of transparency, and limited user control. We introduce a transparent and cost-sensitive feature selection framework for renewable power forecasting that leverages Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI). We integrate SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Explain Like I’m 5 (ELI5) to identify dominant and redundant features. This approach enables systematic dataset reduction without compromising model performance. Our case study, based on Photovoltaic (PV) generation data, evaluates the approach across four experimental setups. Experimental results indicate that our XAI-based feature selection reduces the dominance index from 0.37 to 0.17, maintains high predictive accuracy ( R 2 = 0.94, drop < 0.04), and lowers data acquisition costs. Furthermore, eliminating dominant features improves robustness to noise and reduces performance variance by a factor of three compared to the baseline scenario. The developed framework enhances interpretability, supports human-in-the-loop decision-making, and introduces a cost-sensitive objective function for feature selection. By combining transparency, robustness, and efficiency, we contribute to the development and implementation of Trustworthy AI (TAI) applications in energy forecasting, providing a scalable solution for industrial deployment.

Energy and AIVol. 22
Leibniz University Hannover (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.48
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