Eigenvalue distribution of empirical correlation matrices for multiscale complex systems and application to financial data

We introduce a method for describing eigenvalue distributions of correlation matrices from multidimensional time series. Using our newly developed matrix H theory, we improve the description of eigenvalue spectra for empirical correlation matrices in multivariate financial data by considering an informational cascade modeled as a hierarchical structure akin to the Kolmogorov statistical theory of turbulence. Our approach extends the Marchenko-Pastur distribution to account for distinct characteristic scales, capturing a larger fraction of data variance, and challenging the traditional view of noise-dressed financial markets. We conjecture that the effectiveness of our method stems from the increased complexity in financial markets, reflected by new characteristic scales and the growth of computational trading. These findings not only support the turbulent market hypothesis as a source of noise but also provide a practical framework for noise reduction in empirical correlation matrices, enhancing the inference of true market correlations between assets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical review. E
Published
2025-11-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/qwlr-hytm
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Eigenvalue distribution of empirical correlation matrices for multiscale complex systems and application to financial data

A. M. S. Macêdo, Giovani L. Vasconcelos, Raydonal Ospina, LBL Moraes
Physical review. E
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

Eigenvalue distribution of empirical correlation matrices for multiscale complex systems and application to financial data

A. M. S. Macêdo, Giovani L. Vasconcelos, Raydonal Ospina, LBL Moraes
article en

Abstract

We introduce a method for describing eigenvalue distributions of correlation matrices from multidimensional time series. Using our newly developed matrix H theory, we improve the description of eigenvalue spectra for empirical correlation matrices in multivariate financial data by considering an informational cascade modeled as a hierarchical structure akin to the Kolmogorov statistical theory of turbulence. Our approach extends the Marchenko-Pastur distribution to account for distinct characteristic scales, capturing a larger fraction of data variance, and challenging the traditional view of noise-dressed financial markets. We conjecture that the effectiveness of our method stems from the increased complexity in financial markets, reflected by new characteristic scales and the growth of computational trading. These findings not only support the turbulent market hypothesis as a source of noise but also provide a practical framework for noise reduction in empirical correlation matrices, enhancing the inference of true market correlations between assets.

Physical review. EVol. 112(5)
Universidade Federal da Bahia (BR), Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (BR), Hospital Ana Nery (BR), Universidade Federal do Paraná (BR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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Eigenvalue distribution of empirical correlation matrices for multiscale complex systems and application to financial data — A. M. S. Macêdo, Giovani L. Vasconcelos, et al. · Physical review. E (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS