The historical role of technology in job polarization: lessons from ICT and firm-level data in Sweden

Abstract This paper examines the nexus between technology and job polarization using Swedish firm-level data for 2001–2015, including information on ICT investments (2009–2015) for a subsample of mostly large firms. Our results show that ICT devices increased both the share of high-wage occupations characterized by abstract tasks and the share of middle-wage occupations characterized by routine tasks. ICT devices also reduced the share of low-wage occupations characterized by service tasks. These results question the previously proposed link between ICT and job polarization as postulated by the theory of Routine-Biased Technological Change. We argue that skill upgrading still applies at the firm level.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cliometrica
Published
2025-11-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11698-025-00319-5
Primary Topic
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

The historical role of technology in job polarization: lessons from ICT and firm-level data in Sweden

Yoshihiro Sato, Svante Prado
Cliometrica
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
article

The historical role of technology in job polarization: lessons from ICT and firm-level data in Sweden

Yoshihiro Sato, Svante Prado
article en

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the nexus between technology and job polarization using Swedish firm-level data for 2001–2015, including information on ICT investments (2009–2015) for a subsample of mostly large firms. Our results show that ICT devices increased both the share of high-wage occupations characterized by abstract tasks and the share of middle-wage occupations characterized by routine tasks. ICT devices also reduced the share of low-wage occupations characterized by service tasks. These results question the previously proposed link between ICT and job polarization as postulated by the theory of Routine-Biased Technological Change. We argue that skill upgrading still applies at the firm level.

Cliometrica
Skandinaviska Kiropraktorhögskolan (SE), University of Gothenburg (SE)
Vetenskapsrådet, Göteborgs Universitet
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
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