Modelling Energy Futures: ICT Consumption Patterns and Sustainability in Quito, Ecuador

Energy consumption is a key driver of economic and social development, particularly in rapidly expanding sectors such as Information and Communication Technology (ICT). This study explores the energy demand of Quito’s ICT sector across technical, organizational, economic, social, and environmental dimensions, aiming to inform sustainable urban strategies. A mixed-methods approach was applied, combining quantitative and qualitative analyses. Data was collected via questionnaires from 398 ICT companies and analyzed using descriptive statistics and multivariate techniques, including the Gower similarity coefficient, Principal Coordinate Analysis (PCoA), and biplots. The VENSIM PLE x64 version 9.1.1 was used to model energy consumption dynamics. Results indicate that most ICT firms are micro and small enterprises focused on software development and e-commerce, employing highly skilled personnel. Energy use is concentrated in computing and printing equipment, with limited reliance on climate control systems. While 93% of firms express environmental awareness, fewer than 10% have formal energy efficiency policies. Financial constraints and limited access to efficient equipment are the main barriers to improved energy management. The study concludes that, despite a moderate energy profile, there is an urgent need to strengthen internal energy practices. The findings offer a contextualized framework to guide energy policy and organizational strategies, contributing to more resilient and sustainable urban ICT ecosystems.