Westerly jet waviness modulates mid-latitude hydroclimate variability

The mid-latitude ecological environment is highly vulnerable, and increasing hydroclimate variability poses a significant threat to it. However, the mechanisms driving this variability remain unclear due to short observational records and climate model biases. Here, we present a sub-millennial resolution precipitation record spanning the past ~5.7 million years (Myr), derived from a 300.8-meter fluvio-lacustrine sediment core in mid-latitude East Asia (northern China). Our results reveal a persistent influence of the westerly jet on mid-latitude precipitation since the Pliocene, as well as a marked reduction in mid-latitude precipitation variability alongside amplified low-latitude variability after ~3 million years ago (Ma). Based on idealized sensitivity simulations, we attribute the amplified mid-latitude precipitation variability before ~3 Ma to enhanced westerly jet waviness driven by Arctic warming. Given projected increases in jet waviness under future global warming, we predict more frequent hydroclimate extremes in mid-latitude regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-11-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65904-8
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.30

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article

Westerly jet waviness modulates mid-latitude hydroclimate variability

Jun Cheng, Yubin Wu, Hao Long, Zhigang Zhang et al.
1 citations
Nature Communications
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
1.30
article

Westerly jet waviness modulates mid-latitude hydroclimate variability

Jun Cheng, Yubin Wu, Hao Long, Zhigang Zhang, Liang Yi, Jingran Zhang, Liangqing Cheng
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The mid-latitude ecological environment is highly vulnerable, and increasing hydroclimate variability poses a significant threat to it. However, the mechanisms driving this variability remain unclear due to short observational records and climate model biases. Here, we present a sub-millennial resolution precipitation record spanning the past ~5.7 million years (Myr), derived from a 300.8-meter fluvio-lacustrine sediment core in mid-latitude East Asia (northern China). Our results reveal a persistent influence of the westerly jet on mid-latitude precipitation since the Pliocene, as well as a marked reduction in mid-latitude precipitation variability alongside amplified low-latitude variability after ~3 million years ago (Ma). Based on idealized sensitivity simulations, we attribute the amplified mid-latitude precipitation variability before ~3 Ma to enhanced westerly jet waviness driven by Arctic warming. Given projected increases in jet waviness under future global warming, we predict more frequent hydroclimate extremes in mid-latitude regions.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 16(1)
Tongji University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Zhengzhou University (CN), Nanyang Normal University (CN), Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology (CN), Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Nanjing Normal University, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Tongji University, Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Youth Innovation Promotion Association
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
1.30
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