Analysis of Causal Relationships Between Climate Perceptions and Ecological Production Among Tea Farmers in the Wuyi Mountains

Climate change adaptation in ecologically sensitive agriculture remains underexplored, especially regarding whether farmers’ climate perceptions translate into ecological production behaviors (EPBs). Using survey data from 730 tea farmers in China’s Wuyi Mountains National Park, this study examines how general and extreme climate change perceptions relate to EPB adoption. Employing Ordered Probit models and Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) mediation analysis, we estimate perception–behavior associations and test indirect effects through information-seeking and policy participation, alongside moderation by ecosystem service cognition and ecological production benefit cognition. The results indicate that both general and extreme climate perceptions are positively associated with EPB adoption (β = 0.406 and 0.626, p < 0.01), with extreme perceptions showing significantly stronger effects. Climate perceptions influence EPB adoption across all dimensions (green production, ecological management, and market-based practices). Information-seeking and policy participation function as complementary mediating pathways (combined indirect effects = 0.101 and 0.117), linking climate perceptions to ecological actions. Moreover, higher ecosystem service cognition and ecological production benefit cognition strengthen the perception–behavior relationships across multiple EPB dimensions. Overall, the findings suggest that climate change perceptions are an important driver of farmers’ ecological production choices in high-ecological-value contexts. Interpreted alongside existing adaptation strategies, EPB may enhance resilience by leveraging ecosystem functions while aligning with market incentives for ecological products. These results underscore the value of policies that improve access to ecological training and market information and support demonstration programs that facilitate experiential learning.