Kernel-based Method for Detecting Structural Break in Distribution of Functional Data

We propose a novel method to detect and date structural breaks in the entire distribution of functional data. Theoretical guarantees are developed for our procedure under fewer assumptions than in the existing work. In particular, we establish the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic, which enables us to test the null hypothesis at a certain significance level. Additionally, the limiting distribution of the estimated structural break date is developed under two situations of the break size: fixed and shrinking towards 0 at a specified rate. We further propose a unified bootstrap procedure to construct a confidence interval for the true structural break date for these two situations. These theoretical results are justified through comprehensive simulation studies in finite samples. We apply the proposed method to two real-world examples: Australian temperature data for detecting structural beaks and Canadian weather data for goodness of fit.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistica Sinica
Published
2026-08-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.202025.0404
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
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article

Kernel-based Method for Detecting Structural Break in Distribution of Functional Data

Peijun Sang, Bing Li
Statistica Sinica
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Kernel-based Method for Detecting Structural Break in Distribution of Functional Data

Peijun Sang, Bing Li
article en

Abstract

We propose a novel method to detect and date structural breaks in the entire distribution of functional data. Theoretical guarantees are developed for our procedure under fewer assumptions than in the existing work. In particular, we establish the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic, which enables us to test the null hypothesis at a certain significance level. Additionally, the limiting distribution of the estimated structural break date is developed under two situations of the break size: fixed and shrinking towards 0 at a specified rate. We further propose a unified bootstrap procedure to construct a confidence interval for the true structural break date for these two situations. These theoretical results are justified through comprehensive simulation studies in finite samples. We apply the proposed method to two real-world examples: Australian temperature data for detecting structural beaks and Canadian weather data for goodness of fit.

Statistica Sinica
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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Kernel-based Method for Detecting Structural Break in Distribution of Functional Data — Peijun Sang, Bing Li · Statistica Sinica (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS