Empowering Sustainability in Power Grids: A Multi-Scale Adaptive Load Forecasting Framework with Expert Collaboration

Accurate and robust power load forecasting is a cornerstone for efficent energy management and the sustainable integration of renewable energy. However, the practical application of current deep learning methods is hindered by two critical challenges: the rigidity of fixed-length prediction horizons and the difficulty in capturing the complex, heterogeneous temporal patterns found in real-world load data. To address these limitations, this paper proposes the multi-scale adaptive forecasting with multi-expert collaboration (MAFMC) framework. MAFMC’s primary contribution is a novel architecture that utilizes a collaborative ensemble of specialized expert predictors, enabling it to dynamically adapt to complex and non-linear load dynamics with superior accuracy. Furthermore, it introduces an innovative iterative learning strategy that allows for highly flexible, variable-length forecasting without the need for costly and time-consuming retraining. This capability significantly enhances operational efficiency in dynamic energy environments. Extensive evaluations on three benchmark datasets demonstrate that MAFMC achieves state-of-the-art performance, consistently outperforming leading baseline methods and establishing a new standard for power load forecasting.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainability
Published
2025-11-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310434
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73
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article

Empowering Sustainability in Power Grids: A Multi-Scale Adaptive Load Forecasting Framework with Expert Collaboration

Zhikui Chen, Zengyao Tian, Li Lv, Wei Deng et al.
1 citations
Sustainability
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
article

Empowering Sustainability in Power Grids: A Multi-Scale Adaptive Load Forecasting Framework with Expert Collaboration

Zhikui Chen, Zengyao Tian, Li Lv, Wei Deng, Meng Liu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Accurate and robust power load forecasting is a cornerstone for efficent energy management and the sustainable integration of renewable energy. However, the practical application of current deep learning methods is hindered by two critical challenges: the rigidity of fixed-length prediction horizons and the difficulty in capturing the complex, heterogeneous temporal patterns found in real-world load data. To address these limitations, this paper proposes the multi-scale adaptive forecasting with multi-expert collaboration (MAFMC) framework. MAFMC’s primary contribution is a novel architecture that utilizes a collaborative ensemble of specialized expert predictors, enabling it to dynamically adapt to complex and non-linear load dynamics with superior accuracy. Furthermore, it introduces an innovative iterative learning strategy that allows for highly flexible, variable-length forecasting without the need for costly and time-consuming retraining. This capability significantly enhances operational efficiency in dynamic energy environments. Extensive evaluations on three benchmark datasets demonstrate that MAFMC achieves state-of-the-art performance, consistently outperforming leading baseline methods and establishing a new standard for power load forecasting.

SustainabilityVol. 17(23)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Dalian University of Technology (CN), Shenyang Institute of Computing Technology (China) (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
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