Abnormal behavior modeling and intelligent error prevention algorithm in AI load forecasting

Aiming at the problem of violent fluctuations caused by sudden abnormalities in power load forecasting due to extreme weather, equipment failure and other reasons, this paper introduces the Informer model to model sudden abnormal behaviors and uses Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for intelligent error prevention. The GAN discriminator identifies and marks abnormal points, and the generator repairs abnormal data. Comparative experiments are conducted to verify the sudden anomaly recognition and repair capabilities of the intelligent error prevention mechanism in this paper. The ROC curve results show that the AUC value of the anomaly recognition designed in this paper is 0.95, significantly higher than 0.48 of the baseline model and 0.87 of the GAN model. In most cases, the load of the power system studied in this paper can respond in a shorter time, providing an efficient and intelligent solution for the power system to deal with emergencies. This enhances power load forecasting accuracy and system stability, offering new perspectives for intelligent error prevention and anomaly management in the power industry.

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Publication Details

Journal
Intelligent Decision Technologies
Published
2025-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/18724981251390977
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Abnormal behavior modeling and intelligent error prevention algorithm in AI load forecasting

Shaohui Zhang, Qiuying Han
Intelligent Decision Technologies
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Abnormal behavior modeling and intelligent error prevention algorithm in AI load forecasting

Shaohui Zhang, Qiuying Han
article en

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of violent fluctuations caused by sudden abnormalities in power load forecasting due to extreme weather, equipment failure and other reasons, this paper introduces the Informer model to model sudden abnormal behaviors and uses Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for intelligent error prevention. The GAN discriminator identifies and marks abnormal points, and the generator repairs abnormal data. Comparative experiments are conducted to verify the sudden anomaly recognition and repair capabilities of the intelligent error prevention mechanism in this paper. The ROC curve results show that the AUC value of the anomaly recognition designed in this paper is 0.95, significantly higher than 0.48 of the baseline model and 0.87 of the GAN model. In most cases, the load of the power system studied in this paper can respond in a shorter time, providing an efficient and intelligent solution for the power system to deal with emergencies. This enhances power load forecasting accuracy and system stability, offering new perspectives for intelligent error prevention and anomaly management in the power industry.

Intelligent Decision TechnologiesVol. 19(6)
Zhoukou Normal University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Abnormal behavior modeling and intelligent error prevention algorithm in AI load forecasting — Shaohui Zhang, Qiuying Han · Intelligent Decision Technologies (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS