Innovation ecosystem in agriculture economy

Innovation in the Agri-economy face challenges due to insufficient policy instruments that support closed-loop energy and material metabolism for rural development. Implementing the Research-through-Design (RtD) approach within the Analysis–Projection–Synthesis framework, and supported by the Vester Sensitivity software tool, the innovative Agri-economy is analysed in detail by calculating non-linear normative values based on eighteen identified global variables: Energy sources, Agriculture farming, Transport Service, Technology Innovation, Local Climate, Incubation Centre, Recycling Service, Market Growth, Financial Services, Built Environment, Political Influence, Community Participation, Environment Protection, Forest Management, Infrastructure Availability, Enabling Conditions, Soil Quality, and Water Availability.The normative assessment and scenario projection indicate that the integration of three key technologies—pyrolysis of dry biomass, anaerobic digestion of wet biomass, and Agri-PV systems—can enable closed-loop material and energy flow management, with the potential to add value to the Agri-economy. The observation of the system’s self-regulating behaviour, achieved by modifying the negative feedback cycle using ‘Technology Innovation’ as the starting variable, shows that all system variables reach saturation after 32 simulation rounds. Assuming each simulation round represents one year, this indicates that the impact of the intervention becomes fully evident only after 32 years. However, the study presents multiple alternative interventions corresponding to different policy choices, which may serve as additional research directions in the future