Multi-scale energy forecasting in smart households: Leveraging AI and remotely sensed climate data for sustainable energy management
• Developed a multi-scale AI framework using global climate and solar datasets. • Proposed a hybrid SVR–MLP model that outperforms ML/DL benchmarks. • Demonstrated adaptability of forecasting across multiple temporal scales. • Delivered a generalizable approach beyond localized datasets. • Emphasized the role of occupant-related data for human-centric forecasting. Accurate energy consumption forecasting is essential for optimizing energy use and promoting sustainability in both urban environments and smart households. This study presents an AI-driven multi-scale forecasting framework that integrates global climate and solar energy datasets from NASA and ESA with smart household consumption data. Four models, Support Vector Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Long Short-Term Memory, and a hybrid Support Vector Regression - Multi-Layer Perceptron (SVR-MLP) were evaluated across multiple temporal resolutions (hourly, 3-hourly, 6-hourly, 12-hourly, and daily). The hybrid SVR–MLP consistently outperformed the other approaches, while variations across households revealed distinct consumption behaviors, underscoring the influence of occupant-specific factors on forecasting accuracy. By integrating remote sensing data with AI-based models, the proposed framework offers a flexible and scalable solution for energy monitoring and optimization, supporting eco-efficiency and data-driven sustainable energy management.
Authors
- Marianna Rotilio (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9343-0768)
- Federica Cucchiella (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7057-4411)
- Muhammad Ehtsham (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6853-2852)
Institutions
- University of L'Aquila (IT)
- Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology (FI)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Results in Engineering
- Published
- 2025-11-20
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.108281
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.19