Testing for jumps in a discretely observed price process with endogenous sampling times

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric high-frequency jump test for discretely observed Itô semimartingales. Based on observations sampled recursively at first exit times from a symmetric double barrier, our method distinguishes between threshold exceedances caused by the Brownian component and jumps, which enables the construction of a feasible, noise-robust statistical test. Simulation results demonstrate superior finite-sample performance of our test compared to existing methods. An empirical analysis of NYSE-traded stocks provides clear statistical evidence for jumps, with the results highly robust to spurious detections.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Econometrics
Published
2025-11-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106132
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Testing for jumps in a discretely observed price process with endogenous sampling times

Shifan Yu, Sandra Nolte, Qiyuan Li, Ingmar Nolte et al.
Journal of Econometrics
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Testing for jumps in a discretely observed price process with endogenous sampling times

Shifan Yu, Sandra Nolte, Qiyuan Li, Ingmar Nolte, Yifan Li
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric high-frequency jump test for discretely observed Itô semimartingales. Based on observations sampled recursively at first exit times from a symmetric double barrier, our method distinguishes between threshold exceedances caused by the Brownian component and jumps, which enables the construction of a feasible, noise-robust statistical test. Simulation results demonstrate superior finite-sample performance of our test compared to existing methods. An empirical analysis of NYSE-traded stocks provides clear statistical evidence for jumps, with the results highly robust to spurious detections.

Journal of EconometricsVol. 254
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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