The role of North Pacific teleconnection in the sea level change of the Canadian Basin

This study utilizes sea surface height (SSH) measurements from the CryoSat-2 satellite mission (2011–2020) to demonstrate the ​​significant influence of the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO)​​ on linking Pacific Ocean dynamics with sea level variability in the Canadian Basin. Results reveal a ​​pronounced positive correlation between JJA NPO phases and SSH anomalies (SSHAs)​​ in the Canadian Basin. During positive NPO phases, anomalous anticyclonic circulation intensifies over the Arctic, strengthening the Beaufort High. This atmospheric forcing drives ​​enhanced freshwater transport from the Bering Sea to the Canadian Basin via the Bering Strait, thereby elevating local SSHAs. To extend the analysis beyond the observational period, the ​​Community Earth System Model Version 2 Large Ensemble (CESM2-LE)​​ is employed to simulate this North Pacific teleconnection mechanism driving Canadian Basin sea level variability from ​​1960 to 2100​​. The CESM2-LE results corroborate the ​​positive NPO–SSHA relationship during 2011–2020. ​​North Pacific pre-winter SST anomalies constitute a robust precursor​​ for summer Canadian Basin SSH variability. These findings underscore a ​​critical teleconnection pathway​​ through which North Pacific SST variability modulates Arctic sea levels—a mechanism essential for refining future climate projections and regional sea level risk assessments. 研究基于2011–2020年的CryoSat-2卫星观测数据, 揭示了夏季北太平洋遥相关(NPO)与加拿大海盆的海表面高度异常(SSHA)之间存在显著的正相关关系.当NPO处于正位相时, 北极上空异常的反气旋式环流增强, 加强了波弗特高压.这种大气强迫使得从白令海向加拿大海盆输送的淡水通量增加, 从而抬升了局地SSHA.此外, 北太平洋前冬的海表温度(SST)异常, 可以作为预测后续夏季加拿大海盆海平面变化的一个有效“先兆”指标.这为提前预测北极海平面变化提供了可能性.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Published
2025-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aosl.2025.100752
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
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article

The role of North Pacific teleconnection in the sea level change of the Canadian Basin

Jianqi Sun, Roshin Pappukutty Raj, Snigdhansu Chatterjee, Stine Kildegaard Rose et al.
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

The role of North Pacific teleconnection in the sea level change of the Canadian Basin

Jianqi Sun, Roshin Pappukutty Raj, Snigdhansu Chatterjee, Stine Kildegaard Rose, Ole Andersen, Yang Liu
article en

Abstract

This study utilizes sea surface height (SSH) measurements from the CryoSat-2 satellite mission (2011–2020) to demonstrate the ​​significant influence of the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO)​​ on linking Pacific Ocean dynamics with sea level variability in the Canadian Basin. Results reveal a ​​pronounced positive correlation between JJA NPO phases and SSH anomalies (SSHAs)​​ in the Canadian Basin. During positive NPO phases, anomalous anticyclonic circulation intensifies over the Arctic, strengthening the Beaufort High. This atmospheric forcing drives ​​enhanced freshwater transport from the Bering Sea to the Canadian Basin via the Bering Strait, thereby elevating local SSHAs. To extend the analysis beyond the observational period, the ​​Community Earth System Model Version 2 Large Ensemble (CESM2-LE)​​ is employed to simulate this North Pacific teleconnection mechanism driving Canadian Basin sea level variability from ​​1960 to 2100​​. The CESM2-LE results corroborate the ​​positive NPO–SSHA relationship during 2011–2020. ​​North Pacific pre-winter SST anomalies constitute a robust precursor​​ for summer Canadian Basin SSH variability. These findings underscore a ​​critical teleconnection pathway​​ through which North Pacific SST variability modulates Arctic sea levels—a mechanism essential for refining future climate projections and regional sea level risk assessments. 研究基于2011–2020年的CryoSat-2卫星观测数据, 揭示了夏季北太平洋遥相关(NPO)与加拿大海盆的海表面高度异常(SSHA)之间存在显著的正相关关系.当NPO处于正位相时, 北极上空异常的反气旋式环流增强, 加强了波弗特高压.这种大气强迫使得从白令海向加拿大海盆输送的淡水通量增加, 从而抬升了局地SSHA.此外, 北太平洋前冬的海表温度(SST)异常, 可以作为预测后续夏季加拿大海盆海平面变化的一个有效“先兆”指标.这为提前预测北极海平面变化提供了可能性.

Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (NO), Ministry of Earth Sciences (IN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NO), Technical University of Denmark (DK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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