Harnessing Machine Learning for Multiclass Seismic Risk Assessment in Reinforced Concrete Structures

The objective of this study is to develop an artificial intelligence algorithm that can predict both the risk level and damage level of reinforced concrete structures through classification and proportioning. This algorithm identifies buildings that require preventive measures before an earthquake and buildings that require immediate repair or demolition after an earthquake. A key aspect of the approach is calculating each building’s risk level as the ratio of its risky story to the total number of stories. That calculation provides a normalized figure, enabling comparison between buildings of varying sizes and complexities in an equitable way. The dataset of this study includes 100 buildings affected by previous earthquakes in Türkiye and 782 buildings with detailed seismic analysis. Thirteen different building parameters, structural, seismic, and geometric, have been considered within the scope of this study. Rapid visual screening (RVS) methods were applied for structural integrity analysis, and machine learning models were used for improvement in accuracy and efficiency. In the comparison of the model sets, the approach achieved the highest accuracy of 77% with an ensemble of four models. The results demonstrate the value of blending AI with traditional methodologies for risk analysis. It shows a viable and scalable mechanism for prioritization of retrofit and inspections and helps engineers and policymakers enhance disaster preparedness. By identifying structures at high risk, this work contributes towards overall aims for earthquake resilience in buildings. This study introduces a Pearson-correlation-based feature analysis and a Random Oversampling strategy to enhance model balance. The ensemble model achieved 83% external accuracy and outperformed the traditional RVS method (68%), reducing computation time from minutes to seconds.