Integrated multivariate segmentation tree for heterogeneous credit data analysis in small- and medium-sized enterprises

Traditional decision tree models, which rely exclusively on numerical variables, often face challenges in handling high-dimensional data and are limited in their ability to incorporate textual information effectively. To address these limitations, we propose the integrated multivariate segmentation tree (IMST), a comprehensive framework designed to improve credit evaluation for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) by integrating financial data with textual sources. This method comprises three core stages: (1) transforming textual data into numerical matrices through matrix factorization, (2) selecting salient financial features using Lasso regression, and (3) constructing a multivariate segmentation tree based on either the Gini index or entropy, with weakest-link pruning applied to control model complexity. Experimental results based on a dataset of 1,428 Chinese SMEs demonstrated that IMST achieved an accuracy rate of 88.9%, surpassing both baseline decision trees (87.4%) and conventional models such as support vector machines and neural networks. Furthermore, the proposed model demonstrated superior interpretability and computational efficiency, featuring a more streamlined architecture and improved risk detection capabilities

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Publication Details

Journal
Expert Systems with Applications
Published
2025-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2025.130389
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
Type
article
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article

Integrated multivariate segmentation tree for heterogeneous credit data analysis in small- and medium-sized enterprises

Xiuying Wang, Lu Han
Expert Systems with Applications
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

Integrated multivariate segmentation tree for heterogeneous credit data analysis in small- and medium-sized enterprises

Xiuying Wang, Lu Han
article en

Abstract

Traditional decision tree models, which rely exclusively on numerical variables, often face challenges in handling high-dimensional data and are limited in their ability to incorporate textual information effectively. To address these limitations, we propose the integrated multivariate segmentation tree (IMST), a comprehensive framework designed to improve credit evaluation for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) by integrating financial data with textual sources. This method comprises three core stages: (1) transforming textual data into numerical matrices through matrix factorization, (2) selecting salient financial features using Lasso regression, and (3) constructing a multivariate segmentation tree based on either the Gini index or entropy, with weakest-link pruning applied to control model complexity. Experimental results based on a dataset of 1,428 Chinese SMEs demonstrated that IMST achieved an accuracy rate of 88.9%, surpassing both baseline decision trees (87.4%) and conventional models such as support vector machines and neural networks. Furthermore, the proposed model demonstrated superior interpretability and computational efficiency, featuring a more streamlined architecture and improved risk detection capabilities

Expert Systems with ApplicationsVol. 300
The University of Sydney (AU), Central University of Finance and Economics (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 50%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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Integrated multivariate segmentation tree for heterogeneous credit data analysis in small- and medium-sized enterprises — Xiuying Wang, Lu Han · Expert Systems with Applications (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS