Stop adjusting for anything: How the backdoor and adjustment criteria empower causal human-centric research

• Introduces backdoor and adjustment criteria for adjustment variable selection • Illustration with simulated examples in occupant-centric scenarios • Estimation via frequentist and Bayesian regressions • Visually intuitive approach advances accessibility of basic causal inference tools • Promotes more transparent, intuitive, and causally valid occupant-centric studies Causal inference is increasingly recognized as essential in human-centric building research, yet selecting appropriate adjustment variables remains a methodological challenge when estimating causal effects. Misusing statistical adjustments can introduce or exacerbate bias, leading to distorted effect estimates and suboptimal design or policy decisions that may fail to support—or even harm—people. This study addresses this challenge by advancing the use of causal inference tools in human-centric research. We introduce how to apply causal diagrams, fundamental causal structures, and the backdoor and adjustment criteria to guide the selection of valid adjustment sets. Using simulation-based examples grounded in human-related scenarios, we demonstrate how bias can emerge—and be mitigated—within both frequentist and Bayesian frameworks. Unlike complex statistical techniques, this causal diagram framework emphasizes visual reasoning and transparent assumptions, making it particularly accessible to building scientists who may not have extensive statistical training but still require methodological rigor. We contend that adopting this framework enhances the validity, transparency, interpretability, and reproducibility of causal research in human-centric building science.

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Publication Details

Journal
Building and Environment
Published
2025-11-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2025.114002
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.01
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Stop adjusting for anything: How the backdoor and adjustment criteria empower causal human-centric research

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Stop adjusting for anything: How the backdoor and adjustment criteria empower causal human-centric research

Jian Pan, Andrew Sonta, Matteo Favero, Marcel Schweiker, Ruiji Sun, Julia Damrath
article en
1 citations

Abstract

• Introduces backdoor and adjustment criteria for adjustment variable selection • Illustration with simulated examples in occupant-centric scenarios • Estimation via frequentist and Bayesian regressions • Visually intuitive approach advances accessibility of basic causal inference tools • Promotes more transparent, intuitive, and causally valid occupant-centric studies Causal inference is increasingly recognized as essential in human-centric building research, yet selecting appropriate adjustment variables remains a methodological challenge when estimating causal effects. Misusing statistical adjustments can introduce or exacerbate bias, leading to distorted effect estimates and suboptimal design or policy decisions that may fail to support—or even harm—people. This study addresses this challenge by advancing the use of causal inference tools in human-centric research. We introduce how to apply causal diagrams, fundamental causal structures, and the backdoor and adjustment criteria to guide the selection of valid adjustment sets. Using simulation-based examples grounded in human-related scenarios, we demonstrate how bias can emerge—and be mitigated—within both frequentist and Bayesian frameworks. Unlike complex statistical techniques, this causal diagram framework emphasizes visual reasoning and transparent assumptions, making it particularly accessible to building scientists who may not have extensive statistical training but still require methodological rigor. We contend that adopting this framework enhances the validity, transparency, interpretability, and reproducibility of causal research in human-centric building science.

Building and EnvironmentVol. 289
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (CH), RWTH Aachen University (DE), University of California, Berkeley (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
1.01
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