Long-term basin trends confirm a record 2022–2024 hydrological drought and water-storage losses in western Amazonia

Western Amazonia, including the Peruvian and Ecuadorian Amazon-Andes transition zone, within the contributing basin of the Tamshiyacu hydrological station near the Marañón–Ucayali confluence, contributing ∼16 % of Amazon discharge (32,000 m³ s⁻¹). This study follows a three-part methodology: (i) establishing a long-term historical baseline by evaluating trends in precipitation (1981–2024), runoff (1984–2024), and high-runoff season timing (1984–2024); (ii) characterizing recent rainfall anomalies in the 2022–2024 period; and (iii) diagnosing the 2022–2024 drought's hydrological impacts using standardized indices (SRI) and water storage anomalies. This study first establishes critical long-term (1981–2024) trends, revealing a significant delay in the onset of the high-runoff season (12 days/decade) and a significant decrease in low-flow season discharge (−116.3 m³ s⁻¹ yr⁻¹). This trend analysis provided the necessary historical context, revealing long-term vulnerability that was exacerbated by the 2022–2024 drought, driven by persistent precipitation deficits. The drought's impacts were unprecedented: the drought lasted a record 24 months (SRI-6), TWS anomalies reached their lowest level on record (below −15 cm), and discharge collapsed below 10,000 m³ s⁻¹ by August 2024. These findings underscore the region's growing vulnerability and the urgent need for adaptive water resource management. • The 2022–2024 Amazon drought lasted 24 months, the longest on record. • High-runoff season onset delayed by 12 days per decade from 1984 to 2024. • Terrestrial and groundwater storage showed depletion, worsening water scarcity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies
Published
2025-11-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102951
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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1.11
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article

Long-term basin trends confirm a record 2022–2024 hydrological drought and water-storage losses in western Amazonia

Eduardo Chávarri-Velarde, Gustavo De la Cruz, Waldo Sven Lavado-Casimiro, Jhan Carlo Espinoza et al.
1 citations
Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies
Climate variability and models
1.11
article

Long-term basin trends confirm a record 2022–2024 hydrological drought and water-storage losses in western Amazonia

Eduardo Chávarri-Velarde, Gustavo De la Cruz, Waldo Sven Lavado-Casimiro, Jhan Carlo Espinoza, Renato Collado-Tello
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Western Amazonia, including the Peruvian and Ecuadorian Amazon-Andes transition zone, within the contributing basin of the Tamshiyacu hydrological station near the Marañón–Ucayali confluence, contributing ∼16 % of Amazon discharge (32,000 m³ s⁻¹). This study follows a three-part methodology: (i) establishing a long-term historical baseline by evaluating trends in precipitation (1981–2024), runoff (1984–2024), and high-runoff season timing (1984–2024); (ii) characterizing recent rainfall anomalies in the 2022–2024 period; and (iii) diagnosing the 2022–2024 drought's hydrological impacts using standardized indices (SRI) and water storage anomalies. This study first establishes critical long-term (1981–2024) trends, revealing a significant delay in the onset of the high-runoff season (12 days/decade) and a significant decrease in low-flow season discharge (−116.3 m³ s⁻¹ yr⁻¹). This trend analysis provided the necessary historical context, revealing long-term vulnerability that was exacerbated by the 2022–2024 drought, driven by persistent precipitation deficits. The drought's impacts were unprecedented: the drought lasted a record 24 months (SRI-6), TWS anomalies reached their lowest level on record (below −15 cm), and discharge collapsed below 10,000 m³ s⁻¹ by August 2024. These findings underscore the region's growing vulnerability and the urgent need for adaptive water resource management. • The 2022–2024 Amazon drought lasted 24 months, the longest on record. • High-runoff season onset delayed by 12 days per decade from 1984 to 2024. • Terrestrial and groundwater storage showed depletion, worsening water scarcity.

Journal of Hydrology Regional StudiesVol. 62
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement (FR), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR), Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú (PE), Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú (PE), Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina (PE), Université Grenoble Alpes (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Climate variability and models
1.11
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