Long-term basin trends confirm a record 2022–2024 hydrological drought and water-storage losses in western Amazonia
Western Amazonia, including the Peruvian and Ecuadorian Amazon-Andes transition zone, within the contributing basin of the Tamshiyacu hydrological station near the Marañón–Ucayali confluence, contributing ∼16 % of Amazon discharge (32,000 m³ s⁻¹). This study follows a three-part methodology: (i) establishing a long-term historical baseline by evaluating trends in precipitation (1981–2024), runoff (1984–2024), and high-runoff season timing (1984–2024); (ii) characterizing recent rainfall anomalies in the 2022–2024 period; and (iii) diagnosing the 2022–2024 drought's hydrological impacts using standardized indices (SRI) and water storage anomalies. This study first establishes critical long-term (1981–2024) trends, revealing a significant delay in the onset of the high-runoff season (12 days/decade) and a significant decrease in low-flow season discharge (−116.3 m³ s⁻¹ yr⁻¹). This trend analysis provided the necessary historical context, revealing long-term vulnerability that was exacerbated by the 2022–2024 drought, driven by persistent precipitation deficits. The drought's impacts were unprecedented: the drought lasted a record 24 months (SRI-6), TWS anomalies reached their lowest level on record (below −15 cm), and discharge collapsed below 10,000 m³ s⁻¹ by August 2024. These findings underscore the region's growing vulnerability and the urgent need for adaptive water resource management. • The 2022–2024 Amazon drought lasted 24 months, the longest on record. • High-runoff season onset delayed by 12 days per decade from 1984 to 2024. • Terrestrial and groundwater storage showed depletion, worsening water scarcity.
Authors
- Eduardo Chávarri-Velarde (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8445-8996)
- Gustavo De la Cruz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-0137)
- Waldo Sven Lavado-Casimiro (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0051-0743)
- Jhan Carlo Espinoza (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7732-8504)
- Renato Collado-Tello
Institutions
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement (FR)
- Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
- Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú (PE)
- Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú (PE)
- Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina (PE)
- Université Grenoble Alpes (FR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies
- Published
- 2025-11-20
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102951
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Climate variability and models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.11