Mean fitness is maximized in small populations under stabilizing selection on highly polygenic traits

Stabilizing selection commonly acts on complex traits that affect individual fitness. Here, we relate mean fitness under stabilizing selection to population size and trait architecture, using a simple application of theoretical predictions for the distribution of phenotypic values in a single-trait Gaussian stabilizing selection model. We show that mean fitness is maximized by a finite (often small) population size when the total diploid mutation rate U across trait-affecting loci is reasonably large. Namely, this occurs when U>σ24(VS+VE), where σ2 is the variance of the distribution of effect sizes of new mutations, VS determines the strength of stabilizing selection, and VE is the environmental variance. We validate these predictions using simulations and briefly discuss their implications for interpreting genetic load and adaptability in small populations.

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Publication Details

Journal
Genetics
Published
2026-09-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/iyag254
Primary Topic
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Mean fitness is maximized in small populations under stabilizing selection on highly polygenic traits

Aaron P. Ragsdale
Genetics
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
article

Mean fitness is maximized in small populations under stabilizing selection on highly polygenic traits

Aaron P. Ragsdale
article en

Abstract

Stabilizing selection commonly acts on complex traits that affect individual fitness. Here, we relate mean fitness under stabilizing selection to population size and trait architecture, using a simple application of theoretical predictions for the distribution of phenotypic values in a single-trait Gaussian stabilizing selection model. We show that mean fitness is maximized by a finite (often small) population size when the total diploid mutation rate U across trait-affecting loci is reasonably large. Namely, this occurs when U>σ24(VS+VE), where σ2 is the variance of the distribution of effect sizes of new mutations, VS determines the strength of stabilizing selection, and VE is the environmental variance. We validate these predictions using simulations and briefly discuss their implications for interpreting genetic load and adaptability in small populations.

Genetics
University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
National Institutes of Health, National Institute of General Medical Sciences
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
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Mean fitness is maximized in small populations under stabilizing selection on highly polygenic traits — Aaron P. Ragsdale · Genetics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS