Bunching of extreme events on complex network

Extreme events such as earthquakes, floods, and power blackouts often display burst phenomena where multiple extreme events occur in quick succession or in bunches. We show that the network structure plays an important role in bunching of extreme events. We use a model of independent random walkers on a complex network. We find that independent walkers on a network with two clusters connected sparsely show oscillatory behavior between the two clusters. A small cluster sparsely connected with the rest of the network shows correlations and bunching among extreme events. The bunching and correlations emerge naturally in our system though the walkers are independent. Such correlations and bunching are not observed in the large cluster. Thus, these correlations are driven by the network structure. We use several characterization techniques, namely, the recurrence time distribution, autocorrelation function, bursty trains, burstiness parameter, and memory coefficient to quantify the bunching and correlations of extreme events.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science
Published
2026-05-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0309280
Primary Topic
Complex Network Analysis Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Bunching of extreme events on complex network

R. E. Amritkar, Vimal Kishore, Sanjay Kumar, Suraj K. Upadhyay
Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science
Complex Network Analysis Techniques
article

Bunching of extreme events on complex network

R. E. Amritkar, Vimal Kishore, Sanjay Kumar, Suraj K. Upadhyay
article en

Abstract

Extreme events such as earthquakes, floods, and power blackouts often display burst phenomena where multiple extreme events occur in quick succession or in bunches. We show that the network structure plays an important role in bunching of extreme events. We use a model of independent random walkers on a complex network. We find that independent walkers on a network with two clusters connected sparsely show oscillatory behavior between the two clusters. A small cluster sparsely connected with the rest of the network shows correlations and bunching among extreme events. The bunching and correlations emerge naturally in our system though the walkers are independent. Such correlations and bunching are not observed in the large cluster. Thus, these correlations are driven by the network structure. We use several characterization techniques, namely, the recurrence time distribution, autocorrelation function, bursty trains, burstiness parameter, and memory coefficient to quantify the bunching and correlations of extreme events.

Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear ScienceVol. 36(5)
Physical Research Laboratory (IN), Banaras Hindu University (IN)
University Grants Commission
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Complex Network Analysis Techniques
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Bunching of extreme events on complex network — R. E. Amritkar, Vimal Kishore, et al. · Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS