Clinical Severity and Systemic Inflammatory Indices as Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality After Limb Amputation a Retrospective Cohort Study

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Major limb amputation is associated with high short-term mortality, yet practical preoperative risk models remain limited. This study aimed to identify easily obtainable preoperative predictors of in-hospital mortality after limb amputation and to develop a compact predictive model. <b>Methods</b>: We retrospectively analyzed 184 adult patients undergoing major or minor limb amputation between January 2021 and July 2025 at a tertiary referral hospital. Preoperative variables included demographics, comorbidities, urgency of surgery, hemoglobin, and complete blood count-derived inflammatory indices: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to construct a compact preoperative model. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. <b>Results</b>: In-hospital mortality occurred in 36 patients (19.6%). Independent predictors in the multivariable model were emergency surgery (OR 4.39, 95% CI 1.83-10.55), age (per 1 SD; OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.16-2.59), SIRI (per 1 SD; OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.19-2.65), and hemoglobin (per 1 SD decrease; OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.43-0.91). The model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.80) and acceptable calibration. Although not included in the model, intensive care unit and total hospital length of stay were higher among non-survivors. <b>Conclusions</b>: A compact preoperative model incorporating age, urgency of surgery, hemoglobin, and SIRI provides reliable risk stratification for in-hospital mortality after limb amputation. These variables are readily available before surgery, making the model practical for bedside clinical use. Prospective multicenter validation is warranted.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2025-11-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14228063
Primary Topic
Diabetic Foot Ulcer Assessment and Management
Type
article
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article

Clinical Severity and Systemic Inflammatory Indices as Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality After Limb Amputation a Retrospective Cohort Study

T. E. Bakhishev, L. V. Sakhno, А. М. Намитоков, Р. А. Виноградов et al.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Diabetic Foot Ulcer Assessment and Management
article

Clinical Severity and Systemic Inflammatory Indices as Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality After Limb Amputation a Retrospective Cohort Study

T. E. Bakhishev, L. V. Sakhno, А. М. Намитоков, Р. А. Виноградов, A. B. Zakeryaev, E. R. Urakov, S.R. Butaev, G.A. Khangereev, Daria Ignatenko, Marina Pchegatluk
article en

Abstract

<b>Background/Objectives</b>: Major limb amputation is associated with high short-term mortality, yet practical preoperative risk models remain limited. This study aimed to identify easily obtainable preoperative predictors of in-hospital mortality after limb amputation and to develop a compact predictive model. <b>Methods</b>: We retrospectively analyzed 184 adult patients undergoing major or minor limb amputation between January 2021 and July 2025 at a tertiary referral hospital. Preoperative variables included demographics, comorbidities, urgency of surgery, hemoglobin, and complete blood count-derived inflammatory indices: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to construct a compact preoperative model. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. <b>Results</b>: In-hospital mortality occurred in 36 patients (19.6%). Independent predictors in the multivariable model were emergency surgery (OR 4.39, 95% CI 1.83-10.55), age (per 1 SD; OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.16-2.59), SIRI (per 1 SD; OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.19-2.65), and hemoglobin (per 1 SD decrease; OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.43-0.91). The model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.80) and acceptable calibration. Although not included in the model, intensive care unit and total hospital length of stay were higher among non-survivors. <b>Conclusions</b>: A compact preoperative model incorporating age, urgency of surgery, hemoglobin, and SIRI provides reliable risk stratification for in-hospital mortality after limb amputation. These variables are readily available before surgery, making the model practical for bedside clinical use. Prospective multicenter validation is warranted.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 14(22)
Kuban State Medical University (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 54%
Diabetic Foot Ulcer Assessment and Management
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