Optimal Self-Protection via BSDEs for Risk Models with Jump Clusters

We investigate the optimal self-protection problem, from the point of view of an insurance buyer, when the loss process is described by a Cox-shot-noise process and a Hawkes process with an exponential memory kernel. The insurance buyer chooses both the percentage of insured losses and the prevention effort. The latter term refers to actions aimed at reducing the frequency of the claim arrivals, allowing for a different impact on the self-exciting and on the externally excited components of the claim arrival intensity. The problem consists in maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, in presence of a terminal reimbursement. We show that this problem can be formulated in terms of a suitable backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), for which we prove existence and uniqueness of the solution. We extend in several directions the results obtained by Bensalem, Santibanez and Kazi-Tani \cite{Bensalem_Santibanez_KazziTani} and compare our results with those presented therein.

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Publication Details

Journal
SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization
Published
2025-11-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1137/24m1699413
Primary Topic
Probability and Risk Models
Type
article
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article

Optimal Self-Protection via BSDEs for Risk Models with Jump Clusters

Carlo Sgarra, Matteo Brachetta, Claudia Ceci, Giorgia Callegaro
SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization
Probability and Risk Models
article

Optimal Self-Protection via BSDEs for Risk Models with Jump Clusters

Carlo Sgarra, Matteo Brachetta, Claudia Ceci, Giorgia Callegaro
article en

Abstract

We investigate the optimal self-protection problem, from the point of view of an insurance buyer, when the loss process is described by a Cox-shot-noise process and a Hawkes process with an exponential memory kernel. The insurance buyer chooses both the percentage of insured losses and the prevention effort. The latter term refers to actions aimed at reducing the frequency of the claim arrivals, allowing for a different impact on the self-exciting and on the externally excited components of the claim arrival intensity. The problem consists in maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth, in presence of a terminal reimbursement. We show that this problem can be formulated in terms of a suitable backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), for which we prove existence and uniqueness of the solution. We extend in several directions the results obtained by Bensalem, Santibanez and Kazi-Tani \cite{Bensalem_Santibanez_KazziTani} and compare our results with those presented therein.

SIAM Journal on Control and OptimizationVol. 63(6)
University of Padua (IT), Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Genova (IT), University of Bari Aldo Moro (IT), University of Genoa (IT), Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Probability and Risk Models
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