Government‐Level Political Risk Perception and Corporate Violations: Evidence From China

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the impact of government‐level political risk perception on corporate violations. Using data from A‐share listed companies in China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2000 to 2022, we construct an index system to measure the intensity of geopolitical risk perception and incorporate it into the analysis of corporate misconduct. The results show that stronger government perception of geopolitical risk is associated with a higher likelihood of corporate violations. Mechanism analysis reveals that political risk perception increases the probability of corporate misconduct by amplifying capital market volatility and weakening financial regulatory intensity. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the effect is more pronounced among firms operating in regions with higher levels of marketisation, lower quality of information disclosure and lower levels of analyst and media attention. This study provides a novel perspective on how macro‐level political uncertainty shapes micro‐level corporate behaviour and offers theoretical insights for the formulation of regulatory policies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Asian-Pacific Economic Literature
Published
2025-11-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/apel.70025
Primary Topic
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Government‐Level Political Risk Perception and Corporate Violations: Evidence From China

Lin Zhang, Sok Sinmyong
Asian-Pacific Economic Literature
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
article

Government‐Level Political Risk Perception and Corporate Violations: Evidence From China

Lin Zhang, Sok Sinmyong
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the impact of government‐level political risk perception on corporate violations. Using data from A‐share listed companies in China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2000 to 2022, we construct an index system to measure the intensity of geopolitical risk perception and incorporate it into the analysis of corporate misconduct. The results show that stronger government perception of geopolitical risk is associated with a higher likelihood of corporate violations. Mechanism analysis reveals that political risk perception increases the probability of corporate misconduct by amplifying capital market volatility and weakening financial regulatory intensity. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the effect is more pronounced among firms operating in regions with higher levels of marketisation, lower quality of information disclosure and lower levels of analyst and media attention. This study provides a novel perspective on how macro‐level political uncertainty shapes micro‐level corporate behaviour and offers theoretical insights for the formulation of regulatory policies.

Asian-Pacific Economic Literature
University of International Business and Economics (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 51%
Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance
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