What can artificial intelligence do for stagnant productivity in Latin America and The Caribbean?

Since 1980, income levels in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have shown no convergence with those in the US, in stark contrast to emerging Asia and emerging Europe, which have seen rapid convergence. A key factor contributing to this divergence has been sluggish productivity growth in LAC. Low productivity growth has been broad-based across industries and firms in the formal sector, with limited diffusion of technology being an important contributing factor. Artificial intelligence (AI) hold significant potential to enhance productivity in the formal sector, foster its expansion, reduce informality, and facilitate LAC’s convergence with advanced economies. However, there is a risk that the region will fall behind advanced countries and frontier emerging markets in the advancement of AI. To capitalize on the benefits of AI, policies should aim to facilitate technological diffusion and job transition.

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Publication Details

Journal
Latin American Journal of Central Banking
Published
2025-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2025.100192
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Innovation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

What can artificial intelligence do for stagnant productivity in Latin America and The Caribbean?

Olga Bespalova, Daria Kolpakova, Bas Bakker, Sophia Chen et al.
Latin American Journal of Central Banking
Economic and Technological Innovation
article

What can artificial intelligence do for stagnant productivity in Latin America and The Caribbean?

Olga Bespalova, Daria Kolpakova, Bas Bakker, Sophia Chen, Melissa Chin, Yuanchen Yang, Aman Singhal, Dmitry Vasilyev
article en

Abstract

Since 1980, income levels in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have shown no convergence with those in the US, in stark contrast to emerging Asia and emerging Europe, which have seen rapid convergence. A key factor contributing to this divergence has been sluggish productivity growth in LAC. Low productivity growth has been broad-based across industries and firms in the formal sector, with limited diffusion of technology being an important contributing factor. Artificial intelligence (AI) hold significant potential to enhance productivity in the formal sector, foster its expansion, reduce informality, and facilitate LAC’s convergence with advanced economies. However, there is a risk that the region will fall behind advanced countries and frontier emerging markets in the advancement of AI. To capitalize on the benefits of AI, policies should aim to facilitate technological diffusion and job transition.

Latin American Journal of Central Banking
International Monetary Fund (US), University of California, Santa Cruz (US), University of Maryland, College Park (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Economic and Technological Innovation
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What can artificial intelligence do for stagnant productivity in Latin America and The Caribbean? — Olga Bespalova, Daria Kolpakova, et al. · Latin American Journal of Central Banking (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS