Immune correlates analysis of antibody responses against SARS-CoV-2 variants in the ENSEMBLE vaccine efficacy trial
In Latin American sites of the ENSEMBLE trial of the Ad26.COV2.S vaccine vs. placebo, binding antibodies and neutralizing antibodies measured 4 weeks post-vaccination (∼peak) against circulating lineages (Ancestral, Gamma, Lambda, Mu, Zeta) were assessed as a correlate of risk of, and correlate of protection against, lineage-specific COVID-19. Comparison of lineage-matched controlled vaccine efficacy (VE) curves showed similar relationships across lineages of lineage-specific antibody with VE against lineage-matched COVID-19, supporting a "variant-invariant correlate of protection model" that undergirds immunobridging inferences of efficacy against new variants based on variant-matched neutralizing antibody titers. Lambda departed from this model at undetectable/just-detectable titers: at ∼ peak Reference-specific titers of 2.7 arbitrary units (AU)/mL (just-detectable) and 30 AU/ml, VE against Ancestral COVID-19 was 53.0% (95% CI: 30.7%, 67.9%) and 84.5% (73.6%, 93.0%), respectively; at the same Lambda-specific titers, VE against Lambda COVID-19 was 12.3% (-54.1%, 50.3%) and 91.1% (68.9%, 98.0%). Additional research is needed for Omicron variants.
Authors
- Adrian B. McDermott (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0616-9117)
- Avi Kenny (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9465-7307)
- Rubén O. Donis (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6137-8312)
- Michele P. Andrasik (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1952-7825)
- Nigel Garrett (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4530-234X)
- Fei Heng (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6701-7873)
- Leo Serebryannyy
- Glenda Gray (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4649-1477)
- Flora Castellino (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3432-9846)
- Hanneke Schuitemaker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8563-2266)
- Johan Vingerhoets (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5939-9501)
- Bob C. Lin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1373-1406)
- Obrimpong Amoa-Awua
- Richard A. Koup (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3090-7282)
- Jenny Hendriks (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-8191-6200)
- Alex Luedtke (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9936-3236)
- Ying Huang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9655-7502)
- Beatriz Gilda Jegerhorn Grinsztejn (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3692-5155)
- Allen Mueller
- Manjula Basappa
- Paul A. Goepfert (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8441-5737)
- James G. Kublin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1279-3741)
- Susan J. Little (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7645-9737)
- Craig A. Magaret (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5056-2664)
- Britta Flach
- Jerald Sadoff (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4839-3013)
- April K. Randhawa (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2652-3734)
- Patrice Delafontaine (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3744-3617)
- Pavitra Roychoudhury (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4567-8232)
- Lakshmi Jayashankar
- Linda‐Gail Bekker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0755-4386)
- Edith Swann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7791-9232)
- Lars van der Laan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8220-6210)
- Christos J. Petropoulos (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5496-8090)
- Macaya Douoguih (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2707-5729)
- Aditya H. Gaur (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6639-5231)
- Kathleen M. Neuzil (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9480-2714)
- Yiwen Lu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4921-7406)
- Frank Struyf (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9988-0260)
- Mike Castro (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8045-1754)
- Dean A. Follmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4073-0393)
- Sandeep Narpala (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1447-2709)
- Ilse Van Dromme
- Lawrence Corey (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2179-2436)
- Alexander L. Greninger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7443-0527)
- Chenchen Yu
- Martín Casapía (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5972-0948)
- Youyi Fong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4230-6863)
- Sarah O’Connell (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1645-0722)
- Daniel J Stieh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8523-1528)
- Griet A. Van Roey
- Muhammed Naqvi
- Marcelo Losso (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4273-4833)
- Carla Truyers
- Sanne Roels
- Sandra Wagner Cardoso (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5230-0003)
- Peter B. Gilbert (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2662-9427)
- Lindsay Nicole Carpp (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0333-5925)
- Marco Carone (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2106-0953)
- Ollivier Hyrien (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1909-2542)
- Mursal Naisan
- Jennifer Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2556-9100)
- Christopher A. Moore (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8140-7538)
- Victor Ayala
- Mathieu Le Gars
- Gabrielle Dziubla
Institutions
- South African Medical Research Council (ZA)
- Tulane University (US)
- University of North Florida (US)
- University of Maryland, Baltimore (US)
- National Institutes of Health (US)
- St. Jude Children's Research Hospital (US)
- Johnson & Johnson (United States) (US)
- Desmond Tutu HIV Foundation (ZA)
- University of Cape Town (ZA)
- Duke University (US)
- University of the Witwatersrand (ZA)
- University of Washington (US)
- Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (ZA)
- Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (US)
- LabCorp (United States) (US)
- Groote Schuur Hospital (ZA)
- Universidad Nacional de la Amazonía Peruana (PE)
- University of Alabama at Birmingham (US)
- University of California San Diego (US)
- Fred Hutch Cancer Center (US)
- Hospital Ramos Mejía (AR)
- Duke Institute for Health Innovation (US)
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (US)
- Perinatal HIV Research Unit (ZA)
- Janssen (Netherlands) (NL)
- Johnson & Johnson (Brazil) (BR)
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (BR)
- University of KwaZulu-Natal (ZA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- iScience
- Published
- 2025-10-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2025.113660
- Primary Topic
- SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
- National Institutes of Health
- Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority
- National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
- Janssen Research and Development
- Office of Research Infrastructure Programs, National Institutes of Health