The flattening of road accident risk: How best to describe it?

Randomness does not imply unpreventability. Examples are given of how accidents can be prevented in a population where the distribution is random. The paper is based on data for Norway, and no claim is made that the trends examined in the paper apply to all countries.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Safety Research
Published
2025-11-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2025.11.005
Primary Topic
Traffic and Road Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The flattening of road accident risk: How best to describe it?

Rune Elvik
Journal of Safety Research
Traffic and Road Safety
article

The flattening of road accident risk: How best to describe it?

Rune Elvik
article en

Abstract

Randomness does not imply unpreventability. Examples are given of how accidents can be prevented in a population where the distribution is random. The paper is based on data for Norway, and no claim is made that the trends examined in the paper apply to all countries.

Journal of Safety ResearchVol. 95
Institute of Transport Economics (NO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 59%
Traffic and Road Safety
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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The flattening of road accident risk: How best to describe it? — Rune Elvik · Journal of Safety Research (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS