Solar Flare Activity, 1937–2024: Introducing the New Hemispheric Solar Flare Index (hSFI) in the Context of 2024's Major Solar Storm Events

Abstract A new daily composite of the solar flare index (SFI) and the hemispherically‐resolved versions (hSFI) are presented for 1937 to 2024. The data set confirms that the northern hemisphere (NH) dominated solar flare activity during Solar Cycles 17 to 21, but that the southern hemisphere has dominated from Solar Cycle 22 to present. That said, the highest SFI value occurred in the NH during the recent superstorm of May 2024. In sunspot activity, the “Gnevyshev‐Ohl rule” shows that the sum of sunspot numbers during even‐numbered cycles is related to those of adjacent odd‐numbered cycles. A similar rule appears to apply to SFI. The “Gnevyshev gap” phenomenon where solar maximum activity sometimes has two peaks separated by up to 1–2 years of a gap is confirmed for SFI. Although our data set represents the longest continuous daily data set for solar flare activity to‐date, it is known that stronger solar flare events occurred before 1937. Therefore, a brief discussion of earlier solar flare events in the historical record is also provided for context. The statistics of the SFI and hSFI series are compared to other solar and geomagnetic activity indices, including the May and October 2024 solar storms. Statistical analysis of past geomagnetic storms confirms they are more frequent during active cycles and less frequent during solar minima. Strong geomagnetic storms are also more likely to occur during the positive phase of a 1.7 year's quasi‐biennial oscillation in solar activity. The likelihood of low‐magnetic latitude aurorae seems to have a 30 year periodicity component.

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Journal
Space Weather
Published
2025-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025sw004515
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.15
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article

Solar Flare Activity, 1937–2024: Introducing the New Hemispheric Solar Flare Index (hSFI) in the Context of 2024's Major Solar Storm Events

Hülya Yeşilyaprak, Luiggina Cappellotto, Shican Qiu, Víctor Manuel Velasco Herrera et al.
1 citations
Space Weather
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
1.15
article

Solar Flare Activity, 1937–2024: Introducing the New Hemispheric Solar Flare Index (hSFI) in the Context of 2024's Major Solar Storm Events

Hülya Yeşilyaprak, Luiggina Cappellotto, Shican Qiu, Víctor Manuel Velasco Herrera, Ronan Connolly, J. Muraközy, Michal Švanda, A. Özgüç, A. Tlatov, Graciela Velasco Herrera, S. Knoška, Willie Soon, Michael Connolly, Nelya Babynets, David Riveros-Rosas
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Abstract A new daily composite of the solar flare index (SFI) and the hemispherically‐resolved versions (hSFI) are presented for 1937 to 2024. The data set confirms that the northern hemisphere (NH) dominated solar flare activity during Solar Cycles 17 to 21, but that the southern hemisphere has dominated from Solar Cycle 22 to present. That said, the highest SFI value occurred in the NH during the recent superstorm of May 2024. In sunspot activity, the “Gnevyshev‐Ohl rule” shows that the sum of sunspot numbers during even‐numbered cycles is related to those of adjacent odd‐numbered cycles. A similar rule appears to apply to SFI. The “Gnevyshev gap” phenomenon where solar maximum activity sometimes has two peaks separated by up to 1–2 years of a gap is confirmed for SFI. Although our data set represents the longest continuous daily data set for solar flare activity to‐date, it is known that stronger solar flare events occurred before 1937. Therefore, a brief discussion of earlier solar flare events in the historical record is also provided for context. The statistics of the SFI and hSFI series are compared to other solar and geomagnetic activity indices, including the May and October 2024 solar storms. Statistical analysis of past geomagnetic storms confirms they are more frequent during active cycles and less frequent during solar minima. Strong geomagnetic storms are also more likely to occur during the positive phase of a 1.7 year's quasi‐biennial oscillation in solar activity. The likelihood of low‐magnetic latitude aurorae seems to have a 30 year periodicity component.

Space WeatherVol. 23(11)
Slovak Academy of Sciences (SK), Chang'an University (CN), Czech Academy of Sciences, Astronomical Institute (CZ), Pulkovo Observatory (RU), Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute (TR), HUN-REN Institute of Earth Physics and Space Science (HU), Dublin Independent School District (US), Environmental Earth Sciences (AU), Boğaziçi University (TR), Fundación Ciencias Exactas y Naturales (AR), Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (MX)
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
1.15
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