Rulers’ Age and the Stability of Governments: A Survival Analysis

Abstract In this study, we investigate the impact of the age of prime ministers and ministers on the stability of governments across 21 democracies. We examine this issue by using Cox survival analysis, leveraging an original dataset and adopting a comparative perspective. The findings of the study document that younger prime ministers face a lower risk of government discretionary termination compared to their older counterparts. This effect does not appear to be statistically significant for cabinet ministers. By shedding light on this uncharted relationship, we contribute to the flourishing literature on youth representation in politics and the established research agenda on the factors affecting the survival in office of democratic governments. We conclude the study by discussing the implications of the findings for democracy and suggesting avenues for future research.

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Publication Details

Journal
Government and Opposition
Published
2025-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2025.10024
Primary Topic
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Rulers’ Age and the Stability of Governments: A Survival Analysis

Elisabetta Mannoni, Marco Improta
Government and Opposition
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
article

Rulers’ Age and the Stability of Governments: A Survival Analysis

Elisabetta Mannoni, Marco Improta
article en

Abstract

Abstract In this study, we investigate the impact of the age of prime ministers and ministers on the stability of governments across 21 democracies. We examine this issue by using Cox survival analysis, leveraging an original dataset and adopting a comparative perspective. The findings of the study document that younger prime ministers face a lower risk of government discretionary termination compared to their older counterparts. This effect does not appear to be statistically significant for cabinet ministers. By shedding light on this uncharted relationship, we contribute to the flourishing literature on youth representation in politics and the established research agenda on the factors affecting the survival in office of democratic governments. We conclude the study by discussing the implications of the findings for democracy and suggesting avenues for future research.

Government and OppositionVol. 61
University of Siena (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
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