An Ensemble Learning Model for Aging Assessment of Silicone Rubber Considering Multifunctional Group Comprehensive Analysis

With the widespread deployment of high-voltage and ultra-high-voltage transmission lines, composite insulators play a vital role in modern power systems. However, prolonged service leads to material aging, and the current lack of standardized, quantitative methods for evaluating silicone rubber degradation poses significant challenges for condition-based maintenance. To address this measurement gap, we propose a novel aging assessment framework that integrates Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy with a measurement-oriented ensemble learning model. FTIR is utilized to extract absorbance peak areas from multiple aging-sensitive functional groups, forming the basis for quantitative evaluation. This work establishes a measurement-driven framework for aging assessment, supported by information-theoretic feature selection to enhance spectral relevance. The dataset is augmented to 4847 samples using linear interpolation to improve generalization. The proposed model employs k-nearest neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient-Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) within a two-tier ensemble architecture featuring dynamic weight allocation and a class-balanced weighted cross-entropy loss. The model achieves 96.17% accuracy and demonstrates strong robustness under noise and anomaly disturbances. SHAP analysis confirms the resistance to overfitting. This work provides a scalable and reliable method for assessing silicone rubber aging, contributing to the development of intelligent, data-driven diagnostic tools for electrical insulation systems.