Modeling the Water Source Ecosystem in the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project: Implications for Management and Conservation

The Danjiangkou Reservoir (DJKR) serves as the water source for the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (MR-SNWDP), yet comprehensive understanding of its ecosystem structure and function remains limited. This study addressed this knowledge limitation by developing an Ecopath model with 22 functional groups, parameterized using field survey data from 2022 to 2023. Our findings revealed a trophic structure spanning levels 1 to 3.59, with the highest level occupied by piscivorous mandarin fish (Siniperca spp.). Energy flowed through two dominant pathways, with the grazing food chain demonstrating higher transfer efficiency compared to the detrital pathway. Mixed trophic impact analysis identified the introduced icefish (Neosalanx taihuensis) as exerting substantial negative impacts on most functional groups. Key ecosystem indices, including the total primary production to total respiration ratio (TPP/TR, 1.99), connectance index (CI, 0.248), and system omnivory index (SOI, 0.113), collectively indicated an ecosystem of moderate maturity and stability. Persistent challenges include the proliferation of N. taihuensis, suboptimal energy transfer between trophic levels III and IV, and inefficient utilization of primary productivity. To enhance ecosystem resilience and maintain water quality, we recommend the targeted removal of icefish and strategic management of zooplanktivorous fish populations.