Undiagnosed Liver Disease in Patients with Late-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background/Objectives: Late presentations of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) indicate a lack of detection of underlying cirrhosis and a need to identify clinical and socioeconomic risk factors contributing to early-stage HCC recognition. This study tested associations between early diagnostics of HCC and demographic, socioeconomic, clinical, and healthcare-related indicators. Methods: A retrospective analysis of clinical data accumulated between February 2018 and February 2024 was completed at a quaternary care centre (South Australia). Results: We identified 388 cases of newly diagnosed HCC during a six-year period. There were 131 (33.7%) patients with early-stage (Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage 0–A) and 257 (66.3%) patients with late-stage (BCLC B–D) HCC. Late-stage HCC was found in 66.3% of patients, with half of the cohort not having a diagnosis of cirrhosis at the time of HCC detection. A retrospectively calculated Fibrosis Index (FIB-4) of >3.25 was present in nearly half of patients with newly diagnosed HCC with no prior diagnosis of cirrhosis. Engagement with healthcare (p < 0.05), a history of liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001), and gastroenterologist-led care with surveillance programmes (p < 0.001) was associated with early-stage presentation and curative treatment. Late-stage HCC was associated with male sex (p = 0.041), failing to attend appointments (p < 0.001), and liver function tests ordered by general physicians (p = 0.002) or non-gastroenterologist specialists (p = 0.023). Logistic regression analysis indicated that engaging in a surveillance programme, assessment by a gastroenterologist, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores were important factors contributing to early detection of HCC; the area under the curve for this model on the ROC analysis was 0.892 (95% CI 0.855–0.929). Conclusions: Better cirrhosis detection is required, given that 60% of patients had a retrospectively calculated FIB-4 > 3.25. Routine use of non-invasive scores by all healthcare providers may increase engagement with surveillance and improve HCC screening.