Volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land summer temperature

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key ocean-atmospheric mode that affects global weather and climate through atmospheric teleconnections. It remains unclear how robust and stable ENSO teleconnection patterns are under external perturbations. Here, we use observations to demonstrate that volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land surface air temperature in boreal summer across the globe. During eruption years, correlations are found to shift in 62.27% of regions where temperature is significantly connected to ENSO during non-eruption years. State-of-the-art Earth System Models fail to capture this disruptive effect, highlighting challenges in simulating the patterns of climate anomalies and extremes under external perturbations. The disruptive effect identified here raises questions about the stationarity assumption in ENSO reconstructions based upon temperature-sensitive proxy records. Our findings call for an improved characterization of regional climate impacts following volcanic eruptions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-64879-w
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land summer temperature

Xu Zhang, Shang‐Ping Xie, Qianjin Dong, Feng Shi et al.
Nature Communications
Climate variability and models
article

Volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land summer temperature

Xu Zhang, Shang‐Ping Xie, Qianjin Dong, Feng Shi, Fei Liu, Han Zhang, Jinbao Li, Cong Gao
article en

Abstract

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key ocean-atmospheric mode that affects global weather and climate through atmospheric teleconnections. It remains unclear how robust and stable ENSO teleconnection patterns are under external perturbations. Here, we use observations to demonstrate that volcanic eruptions disrupt ENSO teleconnections with land surface air temperature in boreal summer across the globe. During eruption years, correlations are found to shift in 62.27% of regions where temperature is significantly connected to ENSO during non-eruption years. State-of-the-art Earth System Models fail to capture this disruptive effect, highlighting challenges in simulating the patterns of climate anomalies and extremes under external perturbations. The disruptive effect identified here raises questions about the stationarity assumption in ENSO reconstructions based upon temperature-sensitive proxy records. Our findings call for an improved characterization of regional climate impacts following volcanic eruptions.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 16(1)
Hong Kong Baptist University (HK), Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), Sun Yat-sen University (CN), South China Normal University (CN), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), University of California San Diego (US), Wuhan University (CN), HKUST Shenzhen Research Institute (CN), Institute of Geology and Geophysics (CN), Institut de Recherche et d’Innovation (FR), University of Hong Kong (HK)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Climate variability and models
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