Physical-Guided Dynamic Modeling of Ultra-Supercritical Boiler–Turbine Coordinated Control System Under Wet-Mode Operation

To accommodate the high penetration of intermittent renewable energy sources like wind and solar power into the grid, coal-fired units are required to operate with enhanced deep peak-shaving and variable load capabilities. This study develops a dynamic model of the boiler–turbine coordinated control system (BTCCS) for ultra-supercritical once-through boiler (OTB) coal-fired units operating under wet conditions. A mechanistic model framework is established based on mass and energy conservation. In case of missing steady-state data, this work proposes a mechanism-integrated parameter identification method that determines model parameters using only dynamic running data while incorporating physical constraints. Model validation demonstrates that the proposed approach accurately reproduces the variable-load operation of the BTCCS within the range of 50–350 MW. Mean relative errors of output variables are all less than 7.5%, and root mean square errors of output variables are less than 0.3 MPa, 1.4 kg/s, 0.25 m, and 20.7 MW, respectively. Open-loop simulations further confirm that the model captures the essential dynamic characteristics of the system, making it suitable for simulation studies and control system design aimed at improving operational flexibility and safety of OTB coal-fired units under wet conditions.