Accelerated rifting in response to regional climate change in the East African Rift System

Continental rifting is influenced by interactions between tectonic, magmatic, and surface processes, with the latter strongly dependent on regional climate. We test the role of regional climate variability on rift system behavior, by investigating fault slip rate changes in the South Turkana Basin (Lake Turkana Rift, northern Kenya) at the end of the African Humid Period. Throw rates on 27 faults examined during the African Humid Period (9,631-5,333 yr BP) and post-African Humid Period (5,333 yr BP-present) exhibit a mean 0.17 ± 0.08 mm/yr increase during the drier, post-African Humid Period. Numerical simulations reveal Coulomb stress changes from two loading sources that may explain these changes: (1) reduced vertical loading from a 100-150 m lake level drop, and (2) increased magmatic loading from enhanced mantle melt production due to reduced lake loading. An increase in magma flux of > 0.1 km<sup>3</sup>/kyr below the South Turkana Basin results in Coulomb stress changes exceeding those expected from a 100-150 m lake level drop. We provide the first empirical evidence of increased fault activity in response to climate-induced lake level changes in the East African Rift System over time scales of 10<sup>3</sup>-10<sup>4</sup> years, and reveal that climate-tectonic interactions are enhanced in magmatically active rift systems.

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Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-23264-9
Primary Topic
Geological and Geochemical Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Accelerated rifting in response to regional climate change in the East African Rift System

Christopher A. Scholz, R. Moucha, James D. Muirhead, Emily J. Judd et al.
Scientific Reports
Geological and Geochemical Analysis
article

Accelerated rifting in response to regional climate change in the East African Rift System

Christopher A. Scholz, R. Moucha, James D. Muirhead, Emily J. Judd, Michael Keith Paciga, Liang Xue
article en

Abstract

Continental rifting is influenced by interactions between tectonic, magmatic, and surface processes, with the latter strongly dependent on regional climate. We test the role of regional climate variability on rift system behavior, by investigating fault slip rate changes in the South Turkana Basin (Lake Turkana Rift, northern Kenya) at the end of the African Humid Period. Throw rates on 27 faults examined during the African Humid Period (9,631-5,333 yr BP) and post-African Humid Period (5,333 yr BP-present) exhibit a mean 0.17 ± 0.08 mm/yr increase during the drier, post-African Humid Period. Numerical simulations reveal Coulomb stress changes from two loading sources that may explain these changes: (1) reduced vertical loading from a 100-150 m lake level drop, and (2) increased magmatic loading from enhanced mantle melt production due to reduced lake loading. An increase in magma flux of > 0.1 km<sup>3</sup>/kyr below the South Turkana Basin results in Coulomb stress changes exceeding those expected from a 100-150 m lake level drop. We provide the first empirical evidence of increased fault activity in response to climate-induced lake level changes in the East African Rift System over time scales of 10<sup>3</sup>-10<sup>4</sup> years, and reveal that climate-tectonic interactions are enhanced in magmatically active rift systems.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Statistics New Zealand (NZ), University of Auckland (NZ), Syracuse University (US)
National Science Foundation, Maersk Oil
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Geological and Geochemical Analysis
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Accelerated rifting in response to regional climate change in the East African Rift System — Christopher A. Scholz, R. Moucha, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS