Variable Structure Correlation Analysis Based on a New Asymmetric Copula

Traditional dependence modeling has predominantly relied on symmetric copulas to capture variable relationships.However, empirical evidence reveals the prevalence of asymmetric dependence structures in real-world data.Addressing this limitation, contemporary research has progressively shifted toward asymmetric copulas for more precise dependence characterization.Building on this development, this paper develops an innovative construction method for asymmetric copulas by extending Archimedean copula theory.Employing a piecewise modeling framework, we empirically validate the proposed method using daily returns of the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCI) and Shenzhen Component Index (SZCI).The findings demonstrate that the mixed variable-structure copula model constructed using the novel methodology provides superior goodness-of-fit relative to a single-structure asymmetric copula model, which itself outperforms traditional symmetric Archimedean copulas.Furthermore, the paper explores the mutual transformation of tail copula functions through survival copulas, broadening the practical scope of asymmetric copula applications.

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Publication Details

Journal
Tehnicki vjesnik - Technical Gazette
Published
2025-11-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17559/tv-20250201002319
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
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article

Variable Structure Correlation Analysis Based on a New Asymmetric Copula

Tehnicki vjesnik - Technical Gazette
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

Variable Structure Correlation Analysis Based on a New Asymmetric Copula

article en

Abstract

Traditional dependence modeling has predominantly relied on symmetric copulas to capture variable relationships.However, empirical evidence reveals the prevalence of asymmetric dependence structures in real-world data.Addressing this limitation, contemporary research has progressively shifted toward asymmetric copulas for more precise dependence characterization.Building on this development, this paper develops an innovative construction method for asymmetric copulas by extending Archimedean copula theory.Employing a piecewise modeling framework, we empirically validate the proposed method using daily returns of the Shanghai Composite Index (SHCI) and Shenzhen Component Index (SZCI).The findings demonstrate that the mixed variable-structure copula model constructed using the novel methodology provides superior goodness-of-fit relative to a single-structure asymmetric copula model, which itself outperforms traditional symmetric Archimedean copulas.Furthermore, the paper explores the mutual transformation of tail copula functions through survival copulas, broadening the practical scope of asymmetric copula applications.

Tehnicki vjesnik - Technical GazetteVol. 32(6)
North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power (CN), Henan University of Economic and Law (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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