The evolutionary advantage of replacers in the Moran process

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. In stochastic descriptions of evolutionary dynamics, such as the Moran process, individuals are chosen randomly for birth and for death. If the same type is chosen for both steps, then the reproductive event is wasted, because the composition of the population remains unchanged. Here we introduce a new phenotype, which we call a replacer. Replacers are efficient competitors. When a replacer is chosen for reproduction, the offspring will always replace an individual of another type (if available). We determine the selective advantage of replacers in well-mixed populations and on one-dimensional lattices. We find that being a replacer substantially boosts the fixation probability of neutral and deleterious mutants. In particular, fixation probability of a single neutral replacer who invades a well-mixed population of size N is of the order of 1/N rather than the standard 1/N. Even more importantly, replacers are much better protected against invasions once they have reached fixation. Therefore, replacers dominate the mutation selection equilibrium even if the phenotype of being a replacer comes at a substantial cost: curiously, for large population sizes and small mutation rates, the relative reproductive rate of a successful replacer can be as low as 1/e.

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Journal
PLoS Computational Biology
Published
2026-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014892
Primary Topic
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

The evolutionary advantage of replacers in the Moran process

Josef Tkadlec, Martin A. Nowak, Michal Pecho
PLoS Computational Biology
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
article

The evolutionary advantage of replacers in the Moran process

Josef Tkadlec, Martin A. Nowak, Michal Pecho
article en

Abstract

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. In stochastic descriptions of evolutionary dynamics, such as the Moran process, individuals are chosen randomly for birth and for death. If the same type is chosen for both steps, then the reproductive event is wasted, because the composition of the population remains unchanged. Here we introduce a new phenotype, which we call a replacer. Replacers are efficient competitors. When a replacer is chosen for reproduction, the offspring will always replace an individual of another type (if available). We determine the selective advantage of replacers in well-mixed populations and on one-dimensional lattices. We find that being a replacer substantially boosts the fixation probability of neutral and deleterious mutants. In particular, fixation probability of a single neutral replacer who invades a well-mixed population of size N is of the order of 1/N rather than the standard 1/N. Even more importantly, replacers are much better protected against invasions once they have reached fixation. Therefore, replacers dominate the mutation selection equilibrium even if the phenotype of being a replacer comes at a substantial cost: curiously, for large population sizes and small mutation rates, the relative reproductive rate of a successful replacer can be as low as 1/e.

PLoS Computational BiologyVol. 22(10)
Harvard University (US), Charles University (CZ)
Univerzita Karlova v Praze, Grantová Agentura České Republiky
Openalex Percentile: Top 99%
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
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The evolutionary advantage of replacers in the Moran process — Josef Tkadlec, Martin A. Nowak, et al. · PLoS Computational Biology (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS