When I use a word . . . Medical powers of three

The number three is a powerful guide to formulating slogans, statements of principles, and story telling in all walks of life, including medicine. The statistical rule of three states that the 95 confidence interval of a zero observation is 0–3, so that if you don’t see a particular outcome, such as an adverse reaction, in a clinical trial of an intervention, there is still a chance that it will occur when the intervention is used more widely; thus, if an event is not seen in a study of 100 individuals there is up to a 3% chance of seeing it in practice; if it isn’t seen in 1000 individuals the chance of seeing it subsequently is up to 0.3% and so on. Triadic medical slogans include “see one, do one, teach one”; “history, examination, investigation”; and “percussion, palpation, auscultation.” There is a rule of three that has been applied to fragment-based drug discovery, and the triad that informs subsequent drug development is “quality, efficacy, safety,” although not necessarily in that order. Most clinical syndromes have at least three components, although there are a few with only one or two.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMJ
Published
2025-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.r2357
Primary Topic
Pain Management and Placebo Effect
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

When I use a word . . . Medical powers of three

Jeffrey K Aronson
BMJ
Pain Management and Placebo Effect
article

When I use a word . . . Medical powers of three

Jeffrey K Aronson
article en

Abstract

The number three is a powerful guide to formulating slogans, statements of principles, and story telling in all walks of life, including medicine. The statistical rule of three states that the 95 confidence interval of a zero observation is 0–3, so that if you don’t see a particular outcome, such as an adverse reaction, in a clinical trial of an intervention, there is still a chance that it will occur when the intervention is used more widely; thus, if an event is not seen in a study of 100 individuals there is up to a 3% chance of seeing it in practice; if it isn’t seen in 1000 individuals the chance of seeing it subsequently is up to 0.3% and so on. Triadic medical slogans include “see one, do one, teach one”; “history, examination, investigation”; and “percussion, palpation, auscultation.” There is a rule of three that has been applied to fragment-based drug discovery, and the triad that informs subsequent drug development is “quality, efficacy, safety,” although not necessarily in that order. Most clinical syndromes have at least three components, although there are a few with only one or two.

BMJVol. 391
University of Oxford (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Pain Management and Placebo Effect
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